jlauderdal

Nothing on the euro, looks like typical early season GFS overdoing it BUT it had some big early season wins last year Sent from my Pixel 9 using Tapatalk

Natl guard should be deployed for crowd control. Sent from my Pixel 9 using Tapatalk

90 DP 79, really struggling to get convection going... meanwhile you guys get cold rain, bummer Sent from my Pixel 9 using Tapatalk

I was in the Berkshires 2 weeks ago and enjoyed the upper 40s at night. Current situation in Fort Lauderdale: 87 with a DP of 76 and a drought, today and tomorrow afternoon look promising then a ridge and more dry air. We arent hanging outside either today, tomorrow or until November.

High and dry in the sunshine state for the next week, at least with the ridge overhead. We might get to hurricane season with no additional precip is Sofla. Sent from my Pixel 9 using Tapatalk

80 with a 72 DP at my house so crank up your humidifier. Sent from my Pixel 9 using Tapatalk

Thanks, cloudy and drizzle, deer and turkeys seem happy. Hopefully we tap into a better setup, lack of surface heating isn't helping. Sent from my Pixel 9 using Tapatalk

Been following this thread for a week, arrived from sofla saturday in nyc and heading to Hawley,PA today...will post anything of interest later today and tomorrow. 2-3 inches of rain is very different here than 2-3 inches in sofla, we are in a drought(typical right before the rainy season starts, we are almost there) but even in the rainy season, 3 inches in an afternoon doesnt really move the needle.

100%, 28 degress with 40s to your south and 20 degress 100 miles to your north with the gulf wide open and very deep low ssw, thats hard to get which is why you guys are so disapointed year after year. Im in the western burbs this weekend from sofla and all I get is 35 and rain, thanks. I expect more after dodging hurricanes last season.

Land including mountan terrain, the shredder

Happy hour gfs coming in at sarasota so that is a healthy shift se, ensembles havent been very consistent either.

S2K has far more posters that have actually experienced multiple hurricanes than anyone here so as far as actual real life experience, its not a wasteland by any means. That said, there is a large volume of people that come and go and would be better served by sitting on the sidelines for a year at S2k... e.g the difference between ens and op doesnt seem to be sinking in with this system in particular. The only consistency at this point is the EPS and that is tending towards a recurve od the se coast, will see, nhc isnt so sure at thispoint.

The nhc discounted it and went mandarin.

We can easily handle a foot of rain over 5 days, problem is training on the SW coast and you get to 15 inches in less than a day. We had an event in Fort Lauderdale a year ago, 20+ in 12 hours but very isolated, this setup is very different. Lots of noise in the models, gulf really isnt favorable for at least a week, maybe something finds a small window but its all about the rain for this one and the texas system down the road,maybe.

19/9/5

I live in Sofla, was up there last weekend(a week too early but i did get the pre-xmas ground blizzard last year, missed the fort laud tornado last weekend) and its was raw the whole time but the snow looked good albeit very modest totals. Congrats on this sytem and avoid dry slots the rest of the season.

Go outside

GFS vs Euro with very different solutions, we see it consistently in the tropics, especially with deep systems. Congrats on the wintry pattern, I was there for 3 days, left yeaterday, snow on the trees was scenic.

Thoughts and prayers from a floridian, the recovery efforts wiil take time from the light rain and breezy conditions.

Its like the hurricane cone of confusion on accu weather, all interests from Brownsville to Nova Scotia are in play.

That storm delivered even with traveler advisory totals in chicago. Back to blustry south florida,wont even hit 60 this weekend. Good luck the rest of the winter with big totals.

Barely travelers advisory criteria.

close the road if its that dangerous

Flurries in Naperville, no wind

Too bad the gulf never fully opened for business.