franklin NCwx

1 minute ago, Cold Rain said:

Right now, the pattern looks horrid for snow for most of us for the next two weeks.  Beyond that, who knows.  But climo is waiting just beyond the horizon, though...just waiting to crush your very last snowy hope and drag you down into the depths of a warm and snowless spring.

I haven't seen a warm spring in a few years. I'll welcome it if it comes. La nina springs are usually cold

1 hour ago, Met1985 said:

Glad I don't live there. We still have snow in the ground with a frozen ground to add to that. Also the Euro is showing a cool down for around in two days then another much bigger cool down in 7 days again. I don't look at the GFS much anyways. We have been below average since Christmas anyways.

Last of the snow should melt here today up to 55 now. I'm kinda bummed next week doesn't look as warm now as it did a few days ago. 

Great reading in here this morning 

Ukmet free here.

http://wx.graphics/models/ukmet/ukmet.php

2 hours ago, Touchet said:

Long term pattern is warming up just enough to rain, then cold and dry. 

Sounds like a Nina.

On this weekend's storm Euro folds to the gfs again with the eastern solution. Grit should add that one too.

German model is now on tt.

16 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

Don't we need more than the AO? In years past it has seemed we need a +PNA or a -EPO to help keep the pacific at bay. Right now everything is not cooperating except the AO.  

The more of those in our favor the better. There is a correlation of the nao going negative when the ao does.

Very good agreement on a -ao on the op's and ensembles. 

32 minutes ago, packbacker said:

Finally a post that isn’t worthless from you.  I agree the weeklies have low skill, just talking weather on a otherwise boring weather day. 

You need some snow. Hopefully you will before this winter is out.

3 minutes ago, packbacker said:

 

Someone asked about the weeklies, so we have to ask permission to you post anything post day 10. One line LOL posts patronizing someone are pathetic, and your little sidekick mini-me tried to pile on.  Especially when you two don’t grasp the context of the post.  

 

Where did I say you have to ask permission? Post what you want, as will I. I know you have caught some flack for posting warm maps over the years but that wasn't the point of post. I read what you posted and I'm criticizing the lead time. I'm on record for not being a fan of the weeklies and I'll continue that until they have some skill past 2 weeks. 

2 minutes ago, packbacker said:

Edited my original post to make it a little more clear...forget the intelligence of a couple of trolls is highly questionable.  

My intelligence is just fine someone is a little sensitive today. My post was solely on the 4 week map you posted. No point in posting anything over 10 days.  

2 minutes ago, packbacker said:

Edited my original post to make it a little more clear...forget the intelligence of a couple of trolls is highly questionable.  

My intelligence is just fine someone is a little sensitive today. My post was solely on the 4 week map you posted. No point in posting anything over 10 days.  

^lol.. 720 hours.  All ensembles locked in on a -ao in 8 days.

Where is pack with the heat update? Too much fantasy warmth this year

46 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

HM just posted on Twitter that he’s doubtful of much of a thaw 

The long range warm-ups that we keep seeing in the extended are not panning out. 

The pattern relaxes before it reloads similar to what it did in December.  After our early snowstorm the models showed a massive torch for the rest of the month that only ended up with a week of above normal. The mjo, epo, and some hints of a -ao look promising. 

19 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

It has been a constant flow of systems to track. 

Great winter so far and my expectations were real low heading into this winter.

^eps has an Aleutian low.

14 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said:

I really want to believe     

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

In santa?

Good thing it doesn't snow in Raleigh if a 1/2 inch will be really bad.

16 minutes ago, No snow for you said:

Well I am vacuum sealing a bunch of ribeyes for the coming ice age. It will be cold and dry. 

You must be long natty gas too

January 2000 gets mentioned 10,000 times a winter.

10 minutes ago, fritschy said:

well excuse me my friend, I could understand if I lived in Charlotte, but not the mountains, quite a bit of difference there buddy, not saying anything that most other folks are also saying, We're wasting the cold air and its a shame, I don't claim to know that much, just get frustrated as does most on this board, 

Asheville has an average of 15" per year. You got almost 12 earlier this month, you're over your year to date average.  You're very likely to finish the year above average. 

8 hours ago, Queencitywx said:

If I haven’t learned anything in 17 years on this board, the people who whine the most will get the best snows.

This! The mid Atlantic is great at this.

8 hours ago, Cold Rain said:

Amazing how the GFS is going to lead the way with this storm.

Where have you been for the last 5 years?