Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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January 2011 type evolution. The first wave rides up the front and OTS then we get demolished by the CCB from the ULL.
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Icon, UKmet and CMC don't look very promising for this event. It's a strong coldfront on all of them. Rain, then cold and windy with snow squalls.
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A 1011mb surface low in the gulf is the best this troff could do.
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There are a substantial amount of cutters on both the GEFS and EPS. Relax I'm just the messenger.
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Yeah was just about to post that. There are a lot of cutters.
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The Euro has upper level support for it's initial coastal low. The 18z GFS does not. It forms just cause of an arctic high hitting the gulf stream and in an area of rising heights.
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I have no good analogs. February 1972 and January 1935 look the closest
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Suface low reforms further southwest at 186 like last nights euro.
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More ridging ahead of the troff at 144hrs
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I hope nobody mentions that seriously.
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When was the last time Atlanta got more than 2" of snow?
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Hits Dixie and the Carolinas pretty hard. Another run showing something historic along the east coast.
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No power and a -30 windchill over the Northeast quarter of the country. Merry Christmas to all.
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The heavy snow over New England won't verify because New England has already been wiped off the map by 200mph winds at this point.
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Euro has whatever that thing is
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CMC is even better. It also likes the premature coastal idea for some reason. It's the only thing stopping a January 1966 setup.
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GFS with a perfect H5 track this run. 516 closed low over VA NC. It just ruins it with a coastal low forming too far out to sea. We get some snow anyway.
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We're always walking the line with these strong northern stream TPV's. They are wind machines aloft and tend to hurl whatever does form north of us fairly quickly.
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18z GFS splits the 50/50 low and sends a piece of energy back over Ontario This happens in a lot of big east coast snowstorms..
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November 1950
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GFS digging further east this run, it maybe close with the fantasy storm.
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And that would be a record if I'm not mistaken.
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18z GFS trying to pull a November 1950, just further north.
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I feel like every week we forget how bad models are in the day7+ time frame.
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I don't like this new Idea if bringing the arctic air down further west. It means some of the long range cold maybe a bust for the east coast.
