oconeexman

36 minutes ago, ryan1234 said:

If that actually came to fruition most of the state's population would be without power. And we'd end losing a lot of trees. It would make Hugo look like no big deal... 

Bring it..GENERAC!

33-34 here was supposed to be 40.

Have had sleet snow and mostly rain...get a clap of thunder and big flakes mix in here and there...winning for this winter

Thunder sleet here in walhalla mixed with heavy rain!

Mostly sleet here now..had some snow mixed in earlier

Today is a win for this winter! Hasnt gotten above 37 all day with a forecast high of 41. A little sleet this morning...EPIC 

70"s tuesday, wed and thirsday here! Spring is here for now

2 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Wow, that's early! Looks like its April. Made it down to 27 this am, and had just enough cold to keep that from happening here. Boy that tree is in full bloom though, not just budding!

 

BTW, just checked out NOAA; there's at least a WWA out for EVERY southeastern state except two; Florida and SC. Kind of expected in FL but how pathetic is SC? 

Yessir its pathetic..

Balmy 57 today..brutal winter

Yea it's been showing a southeast ridge...aka warm up for several days on ensembles and global operational models. The warm is coming I'd be willing to bet any amount it will verify

1 hour ago, Waiting on snow said:

Lol somebody in the Carolina's will hit 80 in Feb. Mark it down its happening. 

Feb 5th has a shot

Euro and nam are pretty close.

Hotlanta is still in play.

No snow for Lookout...again...or me or mack 

I hope this fropa works out for yall in Ga and NC. It wont and never does for the upstate. It will be the last shot for most on here. SER is a coming. Cut these totals in half to be safe

1 hour ago, CaryWx said:

So help me understand what Larry is saying here.  We are going to be basically chaotic with cold to warm to cold for next 10 days and then warm 11-15 days before all this settles into a favorable pattern for snow?  That puts out to Feb 10th or so.  Getting a little close to the end of the runway aren't we if this comes to pass...and I remain skeptical?

Basically what I was saying last week. Looking long range into the middke of feb the pattern gets real bad. Then if it flips you got another week or so before it affects us. That puts us into the end of feb. Time isn't on our side here...

2 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

Man this winter rocks! You can’t even question the Madokie Niño in the main thread without someone getting bent out of shape! There’s so much to track it’s insane. Literally haven’t slept in weeks. You can tilt your head sideways and look at 500mb maps all you want but it won’t change the fact that this winter IS and CONTINUES TO BE an epic bust. Congratulations everyone. Well done 

Yea buddy dont clutter up the long term thread when were in frontal passage storm mode...smdh

I'm with ya on the sudoku nino or whatever it is...supposed to be great and heading to some awesome phase...ain't happening. Were about to go zonal in freaking February and the epic cold ain't even making it down here now. I'm not forecast to go below 20 now. Big frigging deal

Yep looking at the next 10 days on the ensembles and controls looks awful. I just said the same thing a few days ago. This will definitely go down as the most over hyped winter for the southeast ever if something doesnt change real soon. We've had more threats in the warmer and drier than average winters. I will never buy into all the BS again from the experts. Dont care what the unicorns are doing in the solar system and the sun and the ocean and all that crap. Give me spring already!

35 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

It's trickier to put together a storm in the SE than to have one tracking across the entire southern tier, where we can watch it all the way in.  But like Gboro said above, the southern jet probably isn't going anywhere.  The Euro books the MJO through phase 6 now, and even the GFS is perking up in that regard.  I don't see us transitioning away from a cool/cold pattern for too long.  And with all of the various shortwaves moving through, we could pop a storm at any time.  It's the type of pattern where you likely won't get a lot of lead.  I've been burned so many times over the last several years relying on northern stream stuff.  Missed storms to the north, west, south, and east.  But that said, there's no good meteorological reason to be overly pessimistic here.

Just basing it off the ensembles in the 7-14 day span. They've all trended away from any real threats in the SE. Believe me I hope they're wrong and very well could be. Hopefully something sneaks up on them but as it stands right now theres nada out there to look forward to for snow lovers outside the NC mountains. That's been the trend for the last 2 days. Yes cold is coming...after all the good signs and above average forecasts from virtually everyone color me pessimistic now as we havent even gotten average yet in the upstate or Ne Ga.  And climatology speaking our prime time is from Jan 1 to mid February here. 

Sure we could be in for a fabulous February and a Marvelous March...and surely hope so. But over the last decade from mid February on Spring comes knocking here. Hell the last couple of years I've been fishing for spawning bass in February. Sure most forecasts call for a back loaded winter...just when is the end of the back anymore?? 

Safe to say January is shot along with the first of Feburary. Gives most of us about a 4 week window realistically for snow chances.

2 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

4th icing event of the year. This winter continues to impress 

 

For some it's been good..for us others not so much. Hell it never dropped below 38 here last night.

45 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Not a word about the Euro at the end of January!??? Telling

Has the low lands from Augusta to Myrtle Beacb hammered around the 30th. Us up here around 1000ft nada..awesome pattern!

39 over 10 currently with a thick cloud deck. Anticipating some zr late tonight early morning to kick off this fabulous January...oh wait January is nearly gone

Dont worry boys fab feb and marv march is yet to come....bahahaha

WWA for here in the morning. Could be our best shot at frozen precip in this awesome pattern....lol

48 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

Also looks like Lookout eye for wed morning mischief, freezing drizzle, light zr has some legs on the models now. Good catch yesterday.

I'm watching close..has had it since yesterday and hasnt backed down for ne ga and nw sc

It's pretty miserable but never was a threat for here or most of me ga. Down the road will bring much better chances.

24 minutes ago, Lookout said:

lmao...my thoughts exactly. hasn't even rained here at all.....37 on my way to my 33 degree rain.....exciting stuff. Getting close to freezing near cornelia, clayton, etc though and  down to 32 in demorest. Looks like temps have dropped below freezing at  andrews pickens and long creek, both are at 31. 

edit, cornelia has reached 32 now. 

 

Well since I posted that I'm down to 33 now so I've hit my low for sure..."33 and rain" love it