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oconeexman

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Posts posted by oconeexman

  1. 1 hour ago, griteater said:

    LOL, in this wretched pattern, the Euro is setting up for glory at the end of its run.  Cold high out front, suppressive flow in the east, bowling ball wave moving into SCAL, with kicker wave behind it in the EPAC.

    45fU19z.gif

    Itll take an absolute perfectly timed event to score right meow. Hope and pray a flip is coming around day 15.

  2. 8 hours ago, griteater said:

    Well the ensembles look kind of 'meh' right now.  Nothing terrible, but nothing spectacular either

    Yea the ensembles look very blah and seasonal at best. I'm waiting for all these great things to happen and hoping it doesnt push all the way to February before it flips.

  3. 6 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

    Wow, checked radar again and that's it for me. It went from east to south on a dime. Some one could definitely score later tonight...won't be us though. This just wasn't our storm, but hopefully we'll get something a little better later on.

    Yea this one was a tough one to watch..glad I wasnt shut out completely but virtually no frozen stuff left..and its pouring

  4. 8 minutes ago, Lookout said:

    Yeah that sucks. How do you normally do when wedges break down? Do you warm up faster or slower than gsp/anderson? 

    Temp here has actually dropped back to 33 after getting to 35. Still have a 10mph or so ne wind with heavy mist/drizzle. Hard to see us rising 4 or 5 degrees overnight. 

    See post above Lookout..its beyond frustrating..I dont understand it. I think the biggest thing for me is track of the low when temps are marginal. Or if the wedge has already established itself.

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  5. I've actually seen it go both ways..sometimes itll lock in here and we will be 5-7 colder than GSP when it retreats. Then theres days like today when I'm at 40 and gsp is at 33. I guess it's where the high sets up shop. Those that are more Hudson babyish or more northern seem to be better for new sc. More east based toward Va seem to help gsp more..I guess. 

    I got to see about 6 hrs of awesome snow but surface temps never got below freezing last night. Then around 0230 the warmth took over and it was a sleet fest.

  6. 1 hour ago, Lookout said:

    Although there is some question about depth of the moisture, Models stubbornly warm the lowest levels over north ga/upstate overnight which is why some  of that is shown as rain. despite northeasterly flow, which is a bit baffling to be honest.  That said, some of the recent runs are a touch colder. Nam especially seems bizarre, showing temps rising into the upper 30s and even near 40 over the northwest upstate. There could be some weak downslope over far ne ga/nw upstate late but otherwise flow is remains NNE to NE throughout the low levels and if this happens it will surely be a first. I can't recall a single time where the temp starts above freezing already and rises several more degrees during the night with NE winds/flow so i'm curious how this shakes out. HRRR is much colder, especially in the upstate, showing temps staying right where they are now which seems like a no brainer. Models were pretty damn close with temps in the end here...got only to 32.7 here, which is a degree warmer than i thought it would get.  So I can't totally discount it.  Hopefully Places that were screwed and missed out will get a little something out of it. 

    I would expect i would see  some here too but the hrrr is dangerously close to showing most of the precip missing here. naturally. 

     

     

     

     

    Well I have slowly risen to 40 now..depressing

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