forkyfork

47 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

GFS FTW? 

most models screw over e nj

30 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

No you don’t....

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

it's not really a bust when you consider that this is what these kinds of storms usually do.  More rain west / more wind east.

NYC/LI 1-2" of rain and 50 mph gusts.... western NJ/PA 3-5" of rain and 30 mph gusts

 

there are places that will wind up with under an inch in nj

this is looking like a bust for most east of far western nj

16 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

we won't know where the 2+" banding sets up until it happens

56 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

But euro was 3"+

it's going to come down to bands of training which will have to be nowcasted 

the ukmet is like the euro

impressive tropical moisture connection with the next system

may 2005. after that the switch flipped and we had one of the hottest summers on record

2 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

That's better than 7 months of April

you snow people are mentally ill

7 straight months of november

i hope there's never a freeze warning again

what a dumpster fire sounding for friday afternoon

upgraded to slight risk

this would have produced a mecs/hecs 2 months ago

a south trend is good news. nobody needs snow on top of what's happening already

is there really a wind fight going on in the april thread

i'm usually skeptical of these south wind events but the velocities are so intense you barely need any mixing for good gusts

ewr 47 mph gust

as soon as the winter PV pattern ended the ice collapsed back to normal

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Why?

you're still vulnerable to covid

if you got over a sickness and tested negative that's bad news

On 2/3/2020 at 2:49 PM, Weatherdude88 said:

forkyfork,

Instead of being pessimistic and ‘butt hurt’ by data showing the most sea ice in 15 years, perhaps you will find the use of your time more constructive, if you have a mind set of optimism, about a possible sea ice recovery for this year (I predict 2020 will be a recovery year).

Current projections, using average melting seasons from the historical NSIDC sea ice extent data set, give us a minimum between 4.8 - 5.0 millions of square kilometers for the 2020 northern hemisphere sea ice extent minimum (This would be quite the recovery). 

how's this looking now

6 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Still mostly cloudy here with a cool breeze. Some gusty winds as the front comes through but I think this is meh for majority of the area.

the mid levels are cold

there's a severe threat tomorrow. ewr area sounding: