forkyfork

a miracle just happened. a warm front pushed through the nyc area in april

there was a massive hemispheric circulation change in 2013 which bluewave has posted about in detail

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

never bet against that ridge

also the -nao got muted

7 hours ago, bluewave said:

Saturday looks like our next warm up as the near record strength Central US low pumps the SE Ridge/WAR.  People will really appreciate this on a weekend day. 

never bet against that ridge

12 minutes ago, TriPol said:

64 here in Hoboken.

dropping quickly

i think the front makes it past philly tomorrow. it's already ahead of schedule 

On 4/7/2019 at 11:24 AM, bluewave said:

The Euro is going with warm along the East and West Coasts and cooler in the middle US. 

https://climate.copernicus.eu/charts/c3s_seasonal/c3s_seasonal_spatial_ecmf_2mtm_3m?facets=undefined&time=2019030100,2208,2019060100&type=ensm&area=area06

that is clearly another dewpoint summer

5 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

What is all this year without a summer mumbo jumbo and etc....this is not a Debbie thread. Let Ginx start his own...

it's an april tradition on this board

i've seen colder april blocking patterns 

5 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Will this be a one day tease?

it looks warm through wednesday

1 minute ago, 495weatherguy said:

How?  Seems highly unlikely--I hope you are right though

warm air...

monday could hit 80 if we clear out enough

wish i had an aircraft carrier to sail out there

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

This year so far is as far away as you can get to the historic Plains drought of 2011 to 2013. Epic fire hose Pacific Jet and historic flash flooding in the Plains. 

https://mobile.twitter.com/DroughtCenter/status/1108737919471230977

The latest #Drought Monitor shows only 4.78 percent of the contiguous U.S. experiencing moderate drought conditions (D1-D4) or worse. That marks the second-lowest percent of the area to experience drought since the beginning of 2000. Explore the data here:

another dewpoint summer on the way. lock it in

a delayed spring followed by three months of 80 degree dewpoints

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Any drop in the AMO may get muted by all the warm water off the East Coast. So we could continue to see more tropical activity even if the official AMO index goes more neutral or even negative. Just look at what a high impact season we had last year with Florence and Michael and a more neutral AMO than 2017.

 

looks like a gulf stream slowdown to me

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

I can't wait for my first TCu in July. I'm going to take multiple pics of it before it dissipates at sunset.

i can't wait for 78 degree dewpoints with ML cape of 500

26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

If you have to worry about sun angle, then it isn’t a big enough snowstorm. We had no problem accumulating midday 4-6-82 with temperatures in the mid 20’s. We mostly have fewer 12” events after 3-15 around the area due to the quickly rising mean temperatures.

corollary: the time of year won't help with a marginal airmass. see january 2008

3 hours ago, weatherpruf said:

The day that will live in infamy; cost a Philly met his job IIRC. Still takes the cake for biggest bust of all time here and we've had many; getting 5-10 in recent years when you expected 2 feet is a bust, sure; getting the dusting of sleet we had out here over two days is in a class by itself.

had the phase worked out properly nyc would have gotten 30+

happy bust day

i can't wait for those summer mornings when you wake up and it's already 88 degrees 

35 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Like November?  

if 7" of snow falls and you're not awake to see it did it really happen

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

All this worrying about 3 or 5 or 7 inches and half of it is gone already anyway

march snow doesn't count

3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Convective precip racing up from the Delmarva.

we're going to get 2" per hour rates easily