forkyfork

december is a fall month

6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Hopefully we can do that this year, plenty of time and a low amount.

we couldn't do it in a nina last dec with a negative ao and nao

dec 82 had a 2-4" event

this is terribad for winter lovers

december isn't a winter month anymore and white christmases are disappearing 

14 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Nassau County would’ve had 18”+ if so much of the start wasn’t wasted on sleet and rain. I’m sure you remember-it was pounding sleet in Long Beach for probably 2 hours as the heaviest of the precip was overhead. And there was still 10-11” snow after. 

the morning of nemo the euro showed the 2" liquid line well into nj

BAM!

weather!

the peak winds aloft happen around 12z and winds are sse. snooze

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Are you planning on grafting next spring? I need to order some of the things I want soon. I want more disease resistant european pears.

i can't find the dwarfing rootstock i want

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

No one is hoping 

climate change is taking this away from most of us

it's that magical time of year when guys in new england hope for a pattern change around christmas 

4 minutes ago, BucksCO_PA said:

Final NOV stats for the Mt. Holly FO climo sites, ideal radiating conditions for the majority of the month setup a healthy contrast between PHL & the surrounding sites. It took late month CAA days for the highly urbanized city locations to drop into the 20's. Meanwhile it was parade of 20's for the immediate suburbs & beyond.

for a true comparison you'd need to use standard deviation 

i remember when we got snow in december from less than ideal patterns

i don't mean a ku or anything i mean like 2"

16 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

This situation is not very far from producing a snowstorm somewhere in the NYC Metro Region. My feeling is that the GFS is holding onto the primary at least a bit too long with the blocking. All it takes is for this to re-develop a few hundred miles southeast of the primary and we're in business. 

WX/PT

 

this is honestly not a bad look

models had below freezing temps for the entire metro last night. oops 

he saw it coming

2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

It may take a few years for the WPAC waters to cool. 

why should they cool when co2 is only increasing? 

the record low at port jervis is 11

39 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Nyc 30 

the record low is 19 lol

6 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

upcoming pattern looking tough, still livable but we've got a lot of dark and cold ahead of us and the slide is getting steeper.  it's encouraging me to do more decorating and furnishing of my apartment because i know i'm gonna be spending a lot of time in the bird cage

why were you up so late? go to bed

finally a wet nino stj system

the cams show an impressively large area of 2"

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

four years ago you had more