kayman

More damage from Talladega County https://x.com/spann/status/1901113018420764856?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1901113018420764856|twgr^|twcon^s1_c10&ref_url=

https://x.com/SkyTrevorBWX/status/1901081896223654399 Calera (AL) tornado damage

There has been several tornadoes spun and damaage from Walker, Shelby, Chilton, and now Talladega counties in the Birmingham area

My family members are in northern Talladega County and they had taken shelter already right now. They are going back into shelter again with the Talladega County TDS supercell.

The Calera PD has confirmed there was damage near the Shelby County Airport which is where the BMX NWS forecast office is located in Calera. It is confirmed from the BMX TOG/TDS supercell. UPDATE: the Calera PD had confirmed it hit an RV park along US 31 & I-65.

A Mesoscale Discussion involving northern and western MS through early morning hours Mesoscale Discussion 0187 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Areas affected...southern Arkansas...far northern Louisiana...and into northern and western Mississippi Concerning...Tornado Watch 36...38... Valid 150439Z - 150615Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 36, 38 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado risk is evolving across portions of southern Arkansas, far northern Louisiana, and western Mississippi. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a band of supercells moving eastward across Arkansas at this time, several with ongoing/strong circulations evident. The southern portion of this band -- over southern Arkansas -- will continue moving eastward across northwestern portions of Tornado Watch 38. Meanwhile farther east, a supercell is crossing southern Leflore County in west-central Mississippi, which is also exhibiting low-level rotation. Meanwhile, other/weaker convection is evolving south of this storm, where CAMs suggest potential for an increase in severe-storm potential over the next couple of hours. Given the favorable environment (both kinematically and thermodynamically), expect risk to continue across portions of WW 38 for several hours across this region. ..Goss.. 03/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV... LAT...LON 33949290 34289258 34438971 34068862 33138940 32058982 32109123 33269371 33949290

It is already started in MS Tornado Warning Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Jackson MS 1122 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 MSC015-051-053-083-133-150515- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-250315T0515Z/ Sunflower MS-Holmes MS-Carroll MS-Leflore MS-Humphreys MS- 1122 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN SUNFLOWER...NORTHWESTERN HOLMES...WEST CENTRAL CARROLL...LEFLORE AND NORTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTIES... At 1122 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Swiftown, or 10 miles north of Belzoni, moving northeast at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Morgan City, Moorhead, Quito, and Itta Bena around 1130 PM CDT. Greenwood around 1140 PM CDT. Schlater around 1150 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3341 8994 3318 9049 3328 9062 3371 9035 TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 220DEG 38KT 3333 9049 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN $$ 86

AL & MS bounced around subforums but they are here. As a native, I can say AL is a Southeastern state for sure.

Speak for yourself. My immediate family members including my parents live in the Greater Birmingham area of Central Alabama. I am legitimately concerned for them. This forum and thread cover the entire Southeast from MS, AL, GA, FL, Southern VA, SC, NC and not just your area. Please read the room and have some sense of respect for those of us concerned about the possible severe weather outbreak threat across the Southeast.

You might be underestimating the helicity and hodograph forecast for wind shear for Sunday at and east of the Metro Charlotte area. The wind shear will be there. That is why I have a feeling that an enhanced risk for severe weather outlook might be coming for just east of Charlotte for Central NC and Northeast SC on Sunday morning and midday. Sunshine isn't always needed for severe weather if the other ingredients such as wind shear, moisture, and latent heating is already present.

James Spann of WBMA (ABC 33/40)/Birmingham has updated the outlook for Greater Birmingham along with all of Central Alabama. https://www.alabamawx.com/?p=276258 It is very disturbing and very ominous of a volatile event for South/southwestern MS, most of Alabama, the north and western 2/3rds of Georgia tomorrow through Sunday morning.

I'm going to go out on a limb but the SPC forecast for Sunday will yield an Enhanced risk area from a north to south area from Suffolk, VA to Sumter, SC.

https://www.alabamawx.com/?p=276141 Now James Spann of WBMA/Birmingham is now speaking on the ominousness of this particular severe weather threat for AL. It is looking like Friday night through Saturday night will be a volatile weather period in the entire Greater Birmingham area from Cullman to Tuscaloosa to Clanton to Gadsden and Anniston/Oxford.

The main threat on Saturday is bullseye on the Birmingham metro area and secondarily in the Metro Atlanta area. That's a densely populated region of about 8 million people between the two metros. That's where most of my immediate family resides. AL and GA posters should be on alert all day Saturday because this is looking to be a very serious severe threat

Brad Panovich of WCNC/Charlotte has already hinted at another multiday severe weather threat across the interior Southeast from Friday through Sunday. https://www.wcnc.com/mobile/article/weather/forecast/charlotte-weather-forecast-update/275-50501550

https://www.wcnc.com/article/weather/weather-impact/storm-damage-union-county-north-carolina/275-c931cf12-9ffc-4ae1-8157-6d41ad0fa6a2 Confirmed EF-1 tornado by NWS in Union County in the south side of the Charlotte metro. The QLCS kink couplet that was identified within the line and tornado warned.

Tornado Warning for Union County, NC.

There's a couplet on the south side of the Charlotte metro in the line that is headed towards Monroe.

Actually if oxygen in the room is always sucked out then others from one area then it will not encourage others to participate. It's not my sole job to ask others offline to join in to discuss weather discussion of us all across in the Carolinas (NC & SC). It's supposed to be welcoming environment to say such things not defensive about engaging others in other areas of the SE forum to feel included in weather forecasting discussions. FYI, I'm originally from Birmingham and lived in Atlanta beforehand. I still try include and engage with others in AL & GA in the forum with major weather events. I've kept the entire forum abreast of a major tornado outbreak that occurred in Southern AL & western/NW GA in 2023.

No. My point is the weather forecasting has been consistently wrong because of the GSP NWS forecasting office has no business doing weather forecasting for the Charlotte area counties in neither state (NC and SC). Charlotte is nearly 100 miles away from their radar or physical forecasting station. GSP needs to stick to weather forecasting for the Upstate SC, Asheville area counties in the WNC mountains, and extremely NE GA. As result, this city is basically doing weather forecasting via Brad Panovich of WCNC. Fun fact, GSP actually asks WSOC-TV to utilize their local Barron radar from time to time for ground truth of weather conditions in Charlotte. That is very bad weather forecasting because it's shouldn't be like that.

This mess is a season of snow season has been insulting and disrespectful Charlotte is the largest metro in the US without our own NWS forecast office or adequate radar coverage although we have a top 10 busiest airport in the world. Thus our local forecasts from the GSP NWS forecast office are mostly wrong or horribly off due the lack of radar coverage and forecasting hole as a result. I've long said that the TCLT radar is crap for forecasting because it's for primary use of air traffic. We can't even get a decent mesoscale discussion (MD) advisory for weather conditions for the area due to the forecasting hole. GSP can't accurately assess what is weather conditions or real time sampling that are transpiring in this bi-state massive region that is Charlotte. Finally, far too many on this subforum here while always talking about NC weather that is 9 out 10 times that it's the Triangle or Raleigh like Charlotte is irrelevant. IRL Charlotte is a way larger region than the Triangle. I see why so few of us post because this is annoying.

It's all snow in Charlotte. Charlotte, out of all the places, should have an all snow event this season. The Triangle already got the snow event last month and early February. The Coast got theirs in early February and the WNC mountains gets it all the time. Charlotte always shut out due to our location, varied geographic, and urban heat island effect.

It's nearly an inch of snow on the ground. I'm in SW Charlotte near the CLT Airport.

Pmph! In Metro Charlotte, it's basically been in a snow drought since the two back-to-back snow events in January 2022. We got a brief snow burst of 0.4" on the 10th, but it turned to sleet the remainder of the event and dry air returned killed any change back to snow over late. Metro Charlotte is exactly like Denver (Colorado), it's too many microclimates across either the 3M+ region, but the parts inside of I-485 seems to have a true urban heat island issue that results in low to no chance of a decent snow inside of 485. The region gets skirted to the north in Cabarrus, Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, northern Mecklenburg, Rowan, and Stanly counties like the random 1" snow in December 2024, or to the north & west in Catawba, Gaston, and Lincoln or northeast in Cabarrus, Rowan, and Stanly on the January 10th event. That's why so many of the posters in this part of the forum looks at so many of the Triangle and Central NC posters so puzzled and confused in silence over these obsessions of potential snow forecasts. Although Charlotte is a much larger population region, we're so used to being ignored by this subforum, NWS, & even the national media outlets including the TWC for snow. Yet we're in a demographic market area (DMA) where the local TV stations with news operations have to do two seperate forecasts for core metro area counties and mountain counties. It's like so common for us to see snow with winter weather advisories, watches, or warnings in Watauga, Ashe, Burke and Caldwell counties while is nothing south or southeast of those counties, that we don't even really care anymore. It's likely just going to be a very cold and windy Tuesday in Charlotte. We're lucky to have a great forecaster like Brad P here but he only has access to what most already have on hand here. I'll once again remind people that that NWS radar hole does contribute to wrong forecasting as well.

It was a dry airmass boundary situated over the Piedmont in the Carolinas. It did radiational cooling through the atmosphere to the ground so it might yield a burst of heavy snow at its ending tonight.