Isotherm

August will probably be the coolest month of the summer with what models are showing and the developing Nino. It wouldn't surprise me to see a taste of fall early.

I'm not sure if we'll be cooler than June and record a below avg month, but I do think we're looking at essentially near normal month (probably 0 to +1).

haha Ive heard that before, many people were saying after the first July heatwave that it really wasnt going to be that hot the rest of the month

We certainly had that very hot week in mid July, but for the 19th-27th period, Central Park accumulated a -15 departure. Today, the 28th, will probably be recorded as a -2 given the 80/70 day, and the last few days of the month look near normal.

So actually the period July 19th-31st will end up below normal, and it was a significant turnaround from the very hot July 1st-18th period.

19 76 68 72 -5

20 72 61 67 -10

21 78 61 70 -7

22 83 65 74 -3

23 86 71 79 2

24 91 74 83 6

25 85 67 76 -1

26 88 68 78 1

27 87 71 79 2

My guess would be very similar Tony. But just to make it interesting, I'll go:

EWR: 26

NYC: 17

I suspect we'll have numerous mid/upper 80s and very humid days throughout the summer, probably a lot of near misses for many. Those type of borderline 85-90 days are when Newark can really pull away from the pack so to speak, in terms of 90F days. As I said before, I think overall the high humidity and elevated night time minima will be more impressive than big day time heat this summer

Looking forward through the next couple weeks, I honestly don't know when the next 90F day will be. Looks troughy with near normal temps for the most part in the NE CONUS. Plenty of convective activity w/ a southerly flow. We may make it to the middle of August with only a couple 90F days. Of course, by the end of the month it becomes more difficult to attain 90.

My numbers from May will probably be a bit too low, Tony's probably look better (30/20), but we'll see, August looks like a high min/normal daytime temps type of month.

The park's starting to fall behind me now; we were neck and neck.

90.1F high here today, giving me 18 days of 90F or higher. Had 4 this week, with an 87F on Wednesday splitting the heat. My average for a year is 18, so above normal is obviously a lock. September most years yields anywhere from nothing to maybe 2 or 3 if it's a hot month. Climo wise, 90F chances drop off considerably post August 25th, so we've got about a month left. Can't believe it; summer goes way too fast. I always say, once 4th of July hits, it's all downhill from there (seems to go much faster).

Today was #16 here. 9 days for the month of July. Will be interesting to see what August holds. My thinking is we'll be warm/humid/wet with increased moisture via bermuda high and southerly flow. Probably a warmer than normal month but nothing more than +1/+2.

there may be some as early as Monday

Maybe. I said sparse, not that we won't see anymore this month. There should be more resistance in the Northeast the last 10 day of the month compared to what we've seen.

I rememeber a couple times in the 1980's they were close...still at 90 F @ 11:00 PM...but don't recall if they were there at midnight...LGA has been the worst UHI for at least the last 40 years...

LGA is the warmest location in the Eastern US right now..

http://www.weather.c...ures_large.html

Often times parts of GA and SC have frosts before LGA. One helluva UHI.

Halfway through meteorological summer, and if the rate of 90F days were to continue, we're looking at an above normal amount of 90F days for all sites. Will be interesting to see how the second half of summer compares to the first. We'll tack on a couple more 90F through Wednesday, but then it looks fairly sparse the rest of the month to me.

Day 12 here today, neck and neck with NYC.

PHL (91) adds another

Geeze PHL has been tacking on some sneaky days this week. They're the new EWR.

Meanwhile NYC has caught up to my 11 days due to a couple 88's here.

Today's day 10 for me. Not bad, will finish the first week of July with at least 13 days of 90F.

5 90F days here.

With 1/3 of met summer basically done, I still think we're on track for a near normal season 90F wise. Probably about 7-9 days of 90F+ in July, and 5-7 days in August, would be my guess. Maybe 1 in September.

I hit 90 in late May, and it looks like I won't reach it again until late June. The next 7 days should be 90F free, but the last 10 days of June remains to be seen. Many summers feature our first heat wave in that 6/20-/6/30 period.

revving up for the summer. I believe we'll tack on some 90 (+) in May (maybe not in NYC).

Call for summer

EWR: 30

NYC: 20

My guess would be very similar Tony. But just to make it interesting, I'll go:

EWR: 26

NYC: 17

I suspect we'll have numerous mid/upper 80s and very humid days throughout the summer, probably a lot of near misses for many. Those type of borderline 85-90 days are when Newark can really pull away from the pack so to speak, in terms of 90F days. As I said before, I think overall the high humidity and elevated night time minima will be more impressive than big day time heat this summer

After the second line said "head in a snow thrower" I was sure it was fake. Scrolled down and looked at the picture, that was pretty funny. Those who don't have a sort of sick sense of humor probably didn't find it funny.

high of 92 / 90+ day number 15.... LOW HUMIDITY!

And I had yet another annoying 89 degree high, 88.7 to be exact. Stuck at 16 days. How many did you finish with last summer? I recorded 38, 1 more than NYC. Based on the way the next couple weeks are looking, I'd be surprised if I made it to 25 for the total this season. Usually post August 20th, the chances for numerous 90F+ highs dwindle significantly. With the pattern not looking hot through week 2, I'm not optimistic for 90F+ days anywhere near the numbers of last summer.

89.5 was the high here, so that's 90 in my book--- number 14!

High of 93.0 here for number 16, really didn't feel that bad to me. I guess I'm getting used to the heat, lol. The 100 degree days have adapted me.

Crazy that EWR has NYC and LGA by 10 90F days. Is it just me or do LGA's highs this summer seem cooler/more in line with NYC than last year?

Today brought me to #14 with a high of 91.3. I've had a few 89.0-89.4 degree days, and those are annoying. I wish it'd either be lower or break 90, as I basically consider 89F to be 90, 1 degree certainly can't be felt outside.

Not even close for me today, was expecting 88-89 but ended up at 84 for the high.

A high of 93 here today, 7th 90+ day of the year so far.

Neck and neck Alex, today's my 7th as well. The past couple days fell short in the upper 80s. Not surprising, borderline days I tend to miss.

Tony, you forgot to post yesterday's highs

Uh oh, he's slacking.

Today's #4 for me.

I've only got 3 so far, but June's not really an impressive month for 90s in these parts, July/August tend to be much better. Even in the scorcher of last summer, I had just 5 or 6 90F days heading into the beginning of July. Plenty of time to rack them up.

So far my closest was yesterday at 88F here in CNJ. Looks like we'll make it through April/May without having a 90 degree day (today probably falls short).

I remember a few times here on the south shore of western LI we were in the low 90s and you were in the upper 80s lol.... we also had three days of 100+ and NYC only had 2. JFK also had 10 days of 95+ and I think NYC had less than that.

Yeah Alex it was probably on those NW wind days when your area really torches, that you beat me. Many of my near misses were literally less than 0.25-0.5 degrees from 90.

Correct, I made a statistical comparison with the other stations and they all had like 4-5 89 degree days while NYC had twice as much..... NYC should have had 47-48 90 degree days last year.

No doubt 90% of NYC saw 45+ 90 degree days, but for Central Park, the 37 number is probably close correct.

Same thing happened IMBY in Colts Neck -- I recorded 38 90F days total, but about 12-13 days at 88-89.4. More rural areas tend to have a much more difficult time cracking 90.