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paweather

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Everything posted by paweather

  1. HH GFS stays the course MA forum won't like it but it is still snowing Friday morning up here.
  2. That's it right there in my amateur mind. Progressive and models don't hone in on that until the 24-48 hour timeframe.
  3. Yes it is. It has been for years now. Same with on air weather folks (except for Allweather).
  4. and I 100% agree with that but what is causing the trends in models today? I know he doesn't really explain it other than twitter posts but what is it.
  5. I'm going all in 8-10" lollipops of 12". I know I am wrong, and I admit it right now to get it out of the way.
  6. I know but you would think technology would be better, we are in 2021. Being this hobby for years it is really the same every year with models.
  7. Yep. I agree you have been a stickler about that this winter and good for you. I wouldn't want to be a forecaster right now. I know we have warnings up but this again will be a game time decision on whether we get 2-3, 6-8, 8-10. I really thought the overrunning part of the storm was 99% given and we would capitalize on that and any additional on the coastal would be great. Now nothing is for sure.
  8. There is no model consensus as always this winter with these storms. This one should be the easy one I would have thought.
  9. I honestly don't know the verification on the 12K versus 3K NAM but I always thought the 3K but the 3K was never really enthused by this storm I don't think.
  10. Overrunning is a given at this point. Yes, models seemed to be a bit drier a more south projected in super snow totals for that. But my interest is now with the Coastal and if we can achieve anything at this point with that. Trust the Nam to feel better if you don't right now. :-)
  11. Let's hope for a stay. 12z runs a little drier so let's hope for the best.
  12. Happy Birthday! Enjoy it and Enjoy a late Birthday gift tomorrow.
  13. It is like a double edge sword where is the north trend (then probably mix).
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