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paweather

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Everything posted by paweather

  1. I don't watch local news any longer but I can tell you in the past most relied on the GFS for their forecast. WGAL was pretty much the EURO/GFS combination. But many don't use the short range models at all or the CMC to flush out the pattern of what is going to happen. This is probably a perfect case for it. Luckily it is above 32 in most locations now at least around here. If this was a colder pattern the most impacted would have been the schools. But roads should be fine for the buses I would think unless along the high terrain.
  2. I agree on the GFS it has not done that well at all. RGEM was good.
  3. At least we finally got an overperformer. GFS for long time leading up to this event it was mostly a rain event. Maybe we will get the same results end of the week.
  4. Maybe Friday night into Saturday. Front end thump and turn to rain right now on most models. But still time for more details on that one.
  5. Still snow here but it is lightening and brightening up maybe another 30 mins and as rates drop change to sleet for the end.
  6. Good point. I don't think I ever snow a Squall Warning down here in a storm type of system.
  7. I don't know what to make the snow squall warning earlier from NWS. Maybe because of the I-80, I-78 crashes they were criticized for not having better alerts out especially down here. I thought it was interesting to get one in a storm situation type not a one squall and done.
  8. We are over 3" here and still dumping. Nice short storm. Next one? GFS has, I think, a good setup for March 2 and 3 but the L in the south kind of just evaporates trying to come north. Plenty of time for this one. After this today we enjoy warmth for a little while.
  9. I always love looking at the 12K NAM to get our hopes up LOL.
  10. My clipper forecast I wanted, LOL, even though Monday is a not clipper.
  11. You got it good description of these events. Maybe we will get lucky and the Monday storm amplifies more but then maybe temp issues down here. One thing is as you pointed it out it is a quick one.
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