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weatherpruf

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Everything posted by weatherpruf

  1. weatherpruf
    i think some areas will get those amounts, and with sleet on top removal will take time. but those are not the most densely populated areas, at least in nj. the rest of us will be ok. but sleet is deceptively dangerous. its not only this storm, i will read headlines now about storms in other parts of the country and it will be like 6 inches. come on folks...
  2. weatherpruf
    the poster knows his stuff. and he has seen this before many times, so have i. i have been saying the ceiling around here has been about 6 in my lifetime for these kinds of events, however, nws seems convinced a wall of heavy snow is coming first, making this one different. i have seen a foot of snow pile up really fast a few times, jan 1987 comes to mind, a disaster on a weekday no one was ready for. hand over my heart i expect 5-6 out of this out here, but won't discount experts who think it could be more.
  3. weatherpruf
    Superintendent is a power position like the mayor; I had one who sent home flyers saying they don’t close for snow in places like Michigan so we don’t either. We’d be open when no one else was. Half the teachers would be out and I had to cover their classes and mine. So I decided to call out as well. Was glad to leave that district.
  4. weatherpruf
    With remote learning the old snow days may be a thing of the past. I stopped paying attention when my youngest graduated in 2020 and I retired. Now I follow storms mostly because there ain’t much to do in winter. 2 hours ago I thought we were back on track now the gfs is showing a lot of sleet, which for the record I still think is the outcome down here; single digits and lots of sleet. By here I mean just west of the city.
  5. weatherpruf
    it seems some people don't think it was enough of a step. but comments are all over the place.
  6. weatherpruf
    in times like this, i always think how the vast majority of folks will be relieved not to get all that snow. 8-12, if that happens in cnj, would still be considered way too much snow for many people.
  7. weatherpruf
    given the hype, this is almost a certainty. big snows in the interior just aren't as sexy as big snows in the big cities, and icy weather in the south is just a disaster i don't wish on them. it really is almost futile until close to game time trying to predict this stuff.
  8. weatherpruf
    I’m confused too… I would consider 3-6 a big letdown but not 8-12. Now I’m on record not buying 8–12. But I would consider it a good storm.
  9. weatherpruf
    my guess is it takes longer, in their view, to flip. something you can't really predict exactly.
  10. weatherpruf
    pike's peak was a pimple back then.....
  11. weatherpruf
    cnj. raritan river, rutgers area.
  12. weatherpruf
    i noted earlier my ceiling over the years for this kind of setup was about 5-6 inches in my area. at least for the 35 years i've been paying attention.
  13. weatherpruf
    gfs is trending north too, just read it on nws.
  14. weatherpruf
    they could also get plain rain in the southern parts, but i don't know if that would help.
  15. weatherpruf
    just read the updates for upton and mt holly and they see a northern trend, esp on the gfs. uncertain about how much mixing but mt holly flat out says the I 95 corridor is gonna ping, and there will be rain south. still going 8-12 but keeping cards close to the chest.
  16. weatherpruf
    at least we don't have the dreaded coastal flood watch....usually indicating a flip to rains....
  17. weatherpruf
    their justification in march 2017 was that if they dropped amounts people would not respect the sleet and go out and get hurt.
  18. weatherpruf
    what? i've not heard that one.....wnyc reported 12-20 for some spots and maybe less than a foot for the city and nearby, with changes possible. pretty fair forecast.
  19. weatherpruf
    i find lee goldberg and the guy on news 12 pretty good. no one is perfect. but news 12 was so good during ida i gained a lot of respect for them.
  20. weatherpruf
    i'm too far north for the huggers, which hit monmouth and ocean then scoot to long island, and too far south for the northern storms. it has been this way my whole life.
  21. weatherpruf
    that one actually had backend snows though... for me the classics are march 94 and march 2017. that 94 storm was brutal; like the house was being sandblasted. unlike this one, temps were more marginal so it was slushy on bottom; try shoveling 5-6 inches of that.....
  22. weatherpruf
    that is right in line with my lived experience with these types of storms. sometimes people would chastise me and not believe what i was actually reporting, because a few miles makes a difference. i will not be surprised by it at all. hoping for better though. we still have changes ahead.
  23. weatherpruf
    hell they're not even reliable after the fact...we talk about it all the time here; in 2006 rahway reported 28 inches; i measured 18 just across the border.
  24. weatherpruf
    it speaks for itself....but i keep reading here that these kuchera maps are unreliable.
  25. weatherpruf
    i'm saying that is what i have seen in 63 years. i leave open the possibilities. now that said, the situation is fluid and may be changing yet again, based on what some are reporting here.
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