weatherpruf
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Everything posted by weatherpruf
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We are but imperfect humans relying on technology to predict the future...
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
weatherpruf replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
There was one just days after 96...started as snow and turned to rain. Remember it well, I was scheduled for a medical procedure and the doctor forgot his equipment. Good thing too, because he later lost his license because all his test results were the same, which is statistically impossible. -
Good luck. The harbor has become a focus of fall black fishing for the Sheepshead Bay boats that go for them. They can't fish NJ wrecks because the season starts too late. It isn't good anyway. I used to tie up to the rocks at the base of the Verrazano 35 years ago; can't do that anymore.
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We're all hungry for a big storm. Too hungry. 2-4 inches is going to be a big disappointment after all the serious discussions we were seeing. I never bought in; too far out, seen too many of these go wrong. But it should be obvious in a few days if nothing big is going to happen.
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It won't be blanketing the ground; it will be piled high on corners with garbage sticking out, and will be black and grey. Wear something waterproof on your feet. If you can get to Central Park, if it even snows, it will be a lot better. Someone always builds a couple snow figures on the benches.
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Well the sample is small, but years when we have the big storms, we usually keep getting smaller events most of the winter, sometimes even up to early April. In 2010 the pattern locked onto the Delmarva region and only relaxed a little in Feb, giving us a couple events. 2011 was our turn. 2014's parade off 6-10 inchers, and so on. The pattern this year is big snows to the south, 2-4 here. But I kept seeing that "suppression" couldn't happen here; if I'm reading right, the weather gods are finding another way to hit south....
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IIRC, that was the deal with Boxing Day; it was going to miss or hit a good chunk; even still, while it delivered some 32 inches in my region, not far to my west it was way less, which is rather unusual. It did hit all the coastal cities IIRC, but not Philly so much, which is further west.
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I'm in CNJ and we have not had a storm crack 3 inches here IMBY.
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Boxing Day, I remember telling people at work it was going out to sea, this was just before the winter break. Man, did I get some flack for that.....it's just too early to know, but IMO this hasn't been our year and that is probably going to be the story. I'll be a monkey's uncle if I have to watch another southern storm this year.
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Calling for a warm winter in this day and age is guaranteed to be right more than not. Doesn't take any special insight really. In 20 years, I never had pipes freeze. This winter was the first time. So, a warm winter it has not been.....
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10-12 is fun. 30 is deadly. 18 inches is about the sweet spot IMO; big enough to get attention but still something you can deal with. 30 will put a lot of people in the infirmary.
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It was a great winter, but the pandemic still overshadowed it. I was still in isolation. Had to walk in the park and the snowpack was deep, let me tell ya. We did have mixing in NJ and that made things worse.
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I am sick of AI already….
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It's the best for fishing too; unless it is too strong. 10-15 NW is just great, preferably with an outgoing tide.
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Supposedly it was that NW wind that killed us in Feb 89...
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I would just hate another bomb cyclone that hits the NJ coast, skirts C and NNJ and delivers to western LI. Seen way too many of those: I'm sitting on 6 inches and AC has and LI has the same....not that 6 inches is bad....
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I have a feeling there will be rendering of shirts and teeth gnashing by say, Monday....
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This ain't it. These storms may sometimes bring us even up to 3 inches, then crap out to rain and mostly wash away. That's probably our best case scenario; a thump that gives a temporary wintry feel, then over to rain. Seen it lots of times. Well, Costco has the gardening stuff out. Time to plan the garden.
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The idea that serotonin deficiency is related to depression failed to hold up on further investigation. But the SSRI drugs still work, for many people. Better options are being worked on.
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ANd trust me, I don't live far from there and went for a walk in another nearby park and it was really only about 1-2 inches, but it was on top of the ice pack so it had a nice, full look to it. Still waiting for something substantial, but this is better than years you see nothing at all. Think we are around 10-11 for the season so far; if these events had been serious systems, we'd have been in good shape.
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Well, for one thing the serotonin hypothesis was debunked a very long time ago, but yes, snow does indeed lift some peoples' spirits in the winter because it is bright. Others though, get very depressed by snow and ice. It is theorized that shorter days have something to do with it.
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Despite living in the area 62 years, I had never seen nor heard of that pond till you mentioned it, or at least I had not noticed it until about a year ago, and I can't remember why I was even there, probably stumbled on it trying to avoid a traffic jam.
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Gorgeous morning walk in Menlo Park this morning. Not much accumulating the parking lots only had dusting but the park was jut beautiful.
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lm not shoveling; back still sore from the sleet fest the other day. Nature will dispatch this I’m sure. Thanks for the reports.
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North, south, east, west...take your pick this year. We're in a pretty deep hole. God only knows why and he ain't talking.
