ryan1234

I really hope that, for once, the majority of us can score a decent snow this go around. I’m just over the Mecklenburg County line, near Matthews. So I know the frustrations of being east of I-85. If the Euro is to believed, I think a lot of us will be beyond ecstatic. I’d love to see snow all the way down to the midlands, the Atlanta area, and well into the Sandhills. I truly wish everyone on this board the best! .

Not every storm is going to produce the same outcome. And we are all well aware of this notion. Yet, here we are, lol. No one in Atlanta thought they were going to measuring snow if feet 4 days out.

It baffles me that people are already jumping off the cliff and are able to seriously call this storm a bust when we are still 4.days.out.

Brad P. posted this earlier today and I think it very well explains what could go wrong (or right) when it comes to model accuracy. We still are technically 5 days out. Climatology speaking, the odds are against a blockbuster winter storm in December. It would be a rarity. But there is still so much time and cliff diving is premature. As is reeling a particular model in. I’m just excited to have a possible storm to track, that for the most part looks promising for a lot of people. .

Exactly, a lot of pieces have to come into play in order to get winter precip in the SE. The fact that we are able to track something this early on bodes well, IMO.

While you may be right, it's also way too early to make bold statements like that. It was only last year that the Atlanta burbs got over a foot, around the same time.

Is it too much to ask for a storm to actually produce for peeps along and SOUTH of I-85? Don't get me wrong, I am perfectly content with the FV3 and the love it is giving to most of the of us, even down to Atlanta. But time after time I have seen these storms completely screw us last minute. And btw, it's okay that the MA and NE are left out of this one. They will get their Noreaster's at some point during this winter. If we even get half of what the FV3 clown maps are showing, I would be perfectly content.

While I agree with you, never say never. It was last year, around the same time, that the northern Atlanta burbs got over a foot of snow. Yes, the odds of anyone seeing that amount are slim to none, it doesn’t mean it isn’t plausible. Quite frankly, I’m just happy to be tracking a winter storm in early December. Regardless of the outcome, it’s pretty exciting. .

Looks like we could see some severe weather here on Tuesday, per the SPC. It's kinda unusual to see it predicted that far in advance. GSP has it in their discussion as well.

I have this sinking feeling that the I-85 corridor is going to be for a rough night and day tomorrow. There were never expected to be Tornado warnings as far west as ATL and that precipitation field is a lot farther west than I would of anticipated. Buckle down folks, it’s going to be a rough 24 hours. Stay safe! Snowgoose was definitely on point!

He tends to lean conservative with his forecasts and it is typical for him to really digest all the new data before he changes his forecast. But yes, you read that right. GSP has a similar discussion as well. I am currently in a Warning, but much like RAH added Raleigh the warning, I am waiting for GSP to add Charlotte as well.

Things certainly seem to be coming together for a widespread wind event for the I-85 corridor from ATL-RDU. I wish more of the local mets would at least mention this possibility. I LOVE Brad P. but he is still going with gusts to maybe 35 maybe 40. He just doesn't want to budge on his forecast.

It's almost scary how much agreement there is with all the models. What's even scarier is the fact that people seem to be underprepared this go around. With Florence, people stalked up a week in advance. I feel like a lot of news outlets are downplaying the wind threat and that's going to catch a lot of people off guard. Even 45-55 will do some damage. I've already seen over an inch of rain and there is a lot more coming per radar. And that isn't from Michael. Trees will be coming down like crazy. Seeing how close CLT is to SC and the center, it's a bit worrisome. I would imagine this extends to RDU as well. Lot's of people are in the path of this storm.

Jeez. I know the Euro wind maps can be unreliable, but this has me a little concerned. Looks like a CLT-RDU "inland special" This shows gusts to near 70mph. I'd imagine trees will be coming down left and right along with numerous outages.

I'm curious to as to how strong winds will get for the Carolina's, especially along and east of I-85. Looks like you are going to get some pretty significant gusts as well. I'm in Union County, NC which is under a Tropical Storm Warning.

GSP decided to pull the trigger an issued a rare Tropical Storm Warning for myself in Union as well as York County. Kinda surprised there is nothing for Charlotte or Raleigh, yet. Considering how close the center of Michael is going to be to both Metros is kind of surprising. Especially with 4-6+ inches of rain.

Flash Flood Emergencies for Union and Mecklenburg County. Things are really bad down here in Union County. Roads closures everywhere.

Rain and wind has picked up substantially in Union County, just southeast of Charlotte. Easily gusting to 40 with these outer most bands. .

Brad is simply amazing. I have never seen a met who is as dedicated and explains weather as he does. Winds have definitely been a bit gustier than I would have anticipated by this time. I wouldn't be surprised to see gusts over 50 MPH, especially tomorrow as the storm moves closer. I got a feeling we will be seeing lots of trees down by Sunday evening. Given that Charlotte could be looking at 1,000-year rainfall event. GSP even bumped the totals to over 10 inches with isolated 15 in some places near and east of I-77.

The NWS in GSP says 10-15 inches across the CLT metro. Either way that's a lot of rain. They seem to be going pretty conservative with winds though.

I fixed my previous statement. I was a little wrong on that regard. Lol.

I'm sorry, but can the mods not get involved and get some of these "wishcasters' relocated to the banter forum? It really muddies everything up and makes this board unreadable. It's a large storm that is beginning to weaken as she interacts with land. She may regain a little strength, but there is no model that has this storm continuing a NW path. It's going to wobble NW back to the W. And probably to the WSW or SW soon, based on current model projections.

Not sure if this is Spectrum news in-house model but it shows some pretty gusty winds for the whole state. That’ll definitely bring down some trees. .

Can we stop it with this tomfoolery already? You're from NC, obviously. And they aren't wishcasting. The GFS has sorta been an outliner this whole time. It's hard to go against the Euro and most the hurricane modeling guidance. Not the mention the NHC.

Yup, it's beginning to make that turn for sure. Brad P's latest VLOG mentioned she's already moving west and even mentioned possible jumps to the SW.