ryan1234
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Everything posted by ryan1234
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Good lord, can we please stop with the "how about my backyard" questions? You all know how to read and know that maps and very detailed discussions will eventually begin to surface. I hope the mods can get a hold on some of these posters. Enough is enough!
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Folks, we still have 3-4 days before this storm really gets going. As we all know, there is so much that can change between now and Sunday. Posting a NAM or GFS snow map and saying "it's all over for your backyard" and yada... yada... yada, does not belong on this thread.
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Not saying you’re wrong, but at this point in time, it’s hard to go against the current trends. Of course that could change for better or worst. What burger said pretty much hit the nail on the head as far as this storm goes. .
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Question: Does Atlanta's higher elevation assist at all with wintry precip in these kinds of setups? Or is it a moot point?
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I'm with SnowGoose on Atlanta being completely thrown for a loop, especially if our CAD overperforms. If the Euro is to be believed, I'd imagine some ZR issues, for sure.
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Now that's more like it! Looks a lot better for the Upstate and the CLT metro to the Triad. Would love to see those higher totals move a little east so our Raleigh peeps can cash in.
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Almost as much as I would love to see a historic snow, I would also love to see the Mods really begin to start really hone in on some of these nonsense posts.
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Cheers to that friend. For once, I'd like to see that warm nose get extinguished and never make it past Kershaw or Winnsboro. We are so overdue!
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Having that transition line right there at SC Highway 9 is still a bit worrisome. I'd like to see it 50 miles south of there, at least for the CLT metro.
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I really hope that, for once, the majority of us can score a decent snow this go around. I’m just over the Mecklenburg County line, near Matthews. So I know the frustrations of being east of I-85. If the Euro is to believed, I think a lot of us will be beyond ecstatic. I’d love to see snow all the way down to the midlands, the Atlanta area, and well into the Sandhills. I truly wish everyone on this board the best! .
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Not every storm is going to produce the same outcome. And we are all well aware of this notion. Yet, here we are, lol. No one in Atlanta thought they were going to measuring snow if feet 4 days out.
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It baffles me that people are already jumping off the cliff and are able to seriously call this storm a bust when we are still 4.days.out.
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Brad P. posted this earlier today and I think it very well explains what could go wrong (or right) when it comes to model accuracy. We still are technically 5 days out. Climatology speaking, the odds are against a blockbuster winter storm in December. It would be a rarity. But there is still so much time and cliff diving is premature. As is reeling a particular model in. I’m just excited to have a possible storm to track, that for the most part looks promising for a lot of people. .
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Exactly, a lot of pieces have to come into play in order to get winter precip in the SE. The fact that we are able to track something this early on bodes well, IMO.
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While you may be right, it's also way too early to make bold statements like that. It was only last year that the Atlanta burbs got over a foot, around the same time.
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Is it too much to ask for a storm to actually produce for peeps along and SOUTH of I-85? Don't get me wrong, I am perfectly content with the FV3 and the love it is giving to most of the of us, even down to Atlanta. But time after time I have seen these storms completely screw us last minute. And btw, it's okay that the MA and NE are left out of this one. They will get their Noreaster's at some point during this winter. If we even get half of what the FV3 clown maps are showing, I would be perfectly content.
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Brad is simply amazing. I have never seen a met who is as dedicated and explains weather as he does. Winds have definitely been a bit gustier than I would have anticipated by this time. I wouldn't be surprised to see gusts over 50 MPH, especially tomorrow as the storm moves closer. I got a feeling we will be seeing lots of trees down by Sunday evening. Given that Charlotte could be looking at 1,000-year rainfall event. GSP even bumped the totals to over 10 inches with isolated 15 in some places near and east of I-77.
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The NWS in GSP says 10-15 inches across the CLT metro. Either way that's a lot of rain. They seem to be going pretty conservative with winds though.
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I fixed my previous statement. I was a little wrong on that regard. Lol.
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I'm sorry, but can the mods not get involved and get some of these "wishcasters' relocated to the banter forum? It really muddies everything up and makes this board unreadable. It's a large storm that is beginning to weaken as she interacts with land. She may regain a little strength, but there is no model that has this storm continuing a NW path. It's going to wobble NW back to the W. And probably to the WSW or SW soon, based on current model projections.
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Not sure if this is Spectrum news in-house model but it shows some pretty gusty winds for the whole state. That’ll definitely bring down some trees. .
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Can we stop it with this tomfoolery already? You're from NC, obviously. And they aren't wishcasting. The GFS has sorta been an outliner this whole time. It's hard to go against the Euro and most the hurricane modeling guidance. Not the mention the NHC.
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Yup, it's beginning to make that turn for sure. Brad P's latest VLOG mentioned she's already moving west and even mentioned possible jumps to the SW.
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It appears that she is already moving more to the west. Almost every model has her moving W then WSW. Now she may not make "hard south turn", but it's hard to go against modeling when there seems to be a general consensus.
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Per TWC Charlotte is on the edge of where power outages are likely. Granted it is TWC, but something I hope doesn't come to fruition.
