ryan1234
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Everything posted by ryan1234
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I hope not either. Depending on how this winter goes will determine whether or not I decide to move to somewhere that actually does see snow. Aka north of 85. .
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It really is a really personal h*ll isn’t it? I don’t think I’ve ever woke up and been so disappointed by the lack of any snow, what’s so ever. I would of been happy with an inch or 2. .
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I would love to see this ULL over perform, waking up to literally know snow was such a major disappointment. But that’s Mother Nature, I suppose. .
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After getting repeatedly screwed where we live especially last night, I am for this, just make suppress it and make it stronger than currently advertised. We need a south of I-85 storm. You northern folks already got yours. It’s time for people farther south to cash in. Sorry, but not sorry. Lol. .
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Actually, Union County (especially the northern half) maybe be able to “jackpot” in some way seeing as how it’s on that edge. Not saying we will end up with more snow than places to the NW, as it rarely does unless, the storm is super suppressed. But if we can get higher precip rates, it may be game on. .
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I would gladly take 7-8 inches, on top of what I'm assuming will be an IP or ZR mix.
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"If you haven't prepared for this winter storm, your window is closing rapidly. Driving will be dangerous AT LEAST tonight through tomorrow PM and many folks will lose power. A bunch of us at the office at GSP are even planning to sleep here tonight. This is one to take seriously." This just came in from GSP's Facebook page. Despite some of the newer globals, I am not quite ready to call this a "bust" yet and go cliff diving. Yet, it seems like a lot of you have already jumped and are plummeting to the ground.
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Haha! Glad I could be of service. I know you all are dealing with a lot atm, so I know it's easy to lose track of all the crap. I should have probably posted this in the sanitarium, to begin with, but it just really irked me. Good luck to all of the mods!
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The mods have already said if you can't back up your statements with valid facts then it's probably best to keep quiet and keep this kind of baseless blabbering to yourself. Yet... here you still are.
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I would love to see it verify as well, simply because it gives decent amounts for pretty much everyone on this board.
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It'll be interesting to see how that 7-inch forecast materializes in Little Rock, Nashville, etc...
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Maybe read more and post less? I don't know if you're trolling us or being serious. Where are the mods at?
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Well, GSP pulled the trigger. Winter Storm Warnings out for most of my area.
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If the NAM keeps showing these ice totals, this area will be a disaster area. However, it's only 1 run and things will continue to change. There is no need for cliff diving or hugging one particular model. That will only cause pain. I am curious to see what the FV3 does for its next run. It has been the most consistent thus far and I wouldn't completely discount those higher snowfall amounts.
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I am cheering on the FV3, like never before. It has been the most consistent, by far. But man, is it going to leave a lot of us burned if it turns out to be completely wrong.
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Just a friendly reminder that there is an actual observation thread.
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I agree it is strange, but I expect more counties to be added at some point. CAE is always more conservative.
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Lancaster County, SC is now under a Winter Storm Watch. It was previously under an advisory. Makes me feel slightly better about there being less of a warm nose for the CLT metro.
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What I find a bit interesting and it most likely will have nothing to do with our area, is how the WSW's and WWA's have shifted quite a bit south in TX and OK. Before OKC was expecting 4-8 inches, that has gone down and that line of heavier snow has shifted to the south.
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Given the current trends, I really feel confident that most of us are in for a nice surprise. Granted, I’m merely an amateur, but I really feel like this CAD is going to over perform. Sure, there is plenty that could go wrong. But I think the overall consistency speaks volumes. .
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I’m about 14 miles away, as a crow flies. So, I’m at least at the lower end of that range. Wouldn’t it be nice to have a snowstorm that doesn’t have a warm nose from the CLT Metro to the Triangle? Unfortunately, that is our climatology.
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So, I am curious about something. I've always noticed on some of our bigger storms that places like OK and AR seem to get snow as well. Sometimes extending to TN. Is what happens with their snowfall amounts worth noting and getting an idea for what we will receive? Like overperformance or snowfall farther south?
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If there is ZR or IP all the way down to the NE ATL burbs, then there is no reason why Charlotte couldn't say all frozen.
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This just proves that the models still don't have a complete grasp on how much cold air will be available and how strong the CAD will be. Do I think Charlotte, Raleigh, or even the Triad will see close to 2 feet of snow? No, I don't. Though the Triad stands a slightly better chance. But it also doesn't mean that some of these big totals won't come to fruition even for CLT, RAH, and even GSP. Heck, NE suburbs of Atlanta may end up ZR and maybe some backside snow. There is still soo much time left to go and so many more model runs to go through. So stay within close proximity to the "cliff" but it's way too soon to be standing with one foot off or jump.
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98% of the time other board members either end up posting said maps or at least offer a PBP for all of us.
