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weathermedic

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  1. No mention of rain during the weekend from this afternoon's OKX AFD:

    LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
    Fcst confidence from Thu into daytime Fri fairly high, as an
    upper ridge to the west and a broad trough to the south both
    persist. Enough ridging aloft should remain in place to keep the
    southern sys from impacting our wx, meanwhile we should turn
    progressively warmer Thu into Fri, with highs in the 80s on Thu
    away from south facing shores, and reaching the lower 90s NW of
    NYC on Fri, a good 5-10 deg above normal along the coast and
    10-15 deg above normal inland.
    
    Timing of a back door cold fropa Fri night/Sat still in
    question, with the GFS faster than the ECMWF. Because of this
    kept high temps on Sat a little warmer than NBM, with near 80 NW
    of NYC and reaching the mid/upper 70s elsewhere. As high
    pressure to the north builds in through the rest of the
    weekend, temps should trend to within a few degrees either side
    of normal from Sunday through Tuesday, with Sunday the coolest
    of the three days (upper 60s east to mid 70s west).
    
    Another cold front may pass on Tue. ECMWF and GFS are in close
    agreement with the 30/12Z cycle, but run-to-run timing and
    position of wx systems has been inconsistent given model
    difficulty handling the overall blocky pattern aloft extending
    from ern NoAm across the northern Atlantic, so fropa could be
    delayed into Wed.
  2. Looks like the low is off the Delaware coast. My barometer is showing 29.11. Atlantic City at the 10pm obs down to 29.05 (approx 984 millibars) Not much wind though. Probably because there is no high pressure nearby. 

  3. Flood warning for the Bronx:

    Flood Warning
    National Weather Service New York NY
    852 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2023
    
    NYC005-010400-
    /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.W.0003.230501T0052Z-230501T0400Z/
    /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
    Bronx NY-
    852 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2023
    
    ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
    
    * WHAT...Small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is
      expected.
    
    * WHERE...A portion of southeast New York, including the following
      county, Bronx.
    
    * WHEN...Until midnight EDT.
    
    * IMPACTS...Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying
      and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring. The Bronx
      River is currently in moderate flood stage due to excess runoff
      from earlier rainfall. Additional rainfall may help extend the
      duration of flooding along the Bronx River overnight.
    
    * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
      - At 850 PM EDT, Flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
        shortly in the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain
        have fallen this evening.
      - This includes the following streams and drainages...
        Bronx River.
      - Some locations that will experience flooding include...
        East Tremont.
      - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
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