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weathermedic

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Posts posted by weathermedic

  1. 4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

    Upton discussion

    Another shortwave traversing within the NW flow aloft between the heat ridge across the central states and troughing over the North Atlantic will approach. An MCS will likely develop with this shortwave as it moves out of the Great Lakes region tonight. There is still fairly high confidence that the majority of this complex will pass well to our west across PA following the greater instability and along and west of the warm front.

    However, there will also be a 30-40 kt LLJ over the northeast and New England overnight into Friday morning. Showers will increase in coverage during this time associated with the LLJ and warm advection. While the majority of the convective complex moves to the west, a weaker, more stratified eastern edge may push through NE NJ, Lower Hudson Valley and portions of the NYC metro. The combination of these features support widespread showers late tonight into Friday morning. PWATs should reach 1.75-2 inches and there will be a deep warm cloud layer of around 13 kft, supporting locally heavy rainfall potential. Low level lapse rates may be fairly steep, but surface instability will be limited by a cap/inversion around 6-8 kft. There is enough elevated instability to support some embedded thunder

    Line of strong to severe storms developing over the Great Lakes. Will see what holds together and how far it makes it.

  2. From OKX (Twitter (X) feed): 

    Did you get woken up from the storms last night/early this am? Below is a summary of lightning data courtesy of @EarthNetworks  (in cloud & cloud to ground) every hour beginning 8 pm Sat & ending 9 am Sunday. About 25,000 strikes occurred during that time, 14,000 from 2 am to 9 am.

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  3. Watch issued for most of the area through 9pm

    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
       Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 569
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       250 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
    
       The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
       * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
         Southern Connecticut
         District Of Columbia
         Delaware
         Maryland
         New Jersey
         Southeast New York
         Southeast Pennsylvania
         Northern Virginia
         Coastal Waters
    
       * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
         900 PM EDT.
    
       * Primary threats include...
         Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
         Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
    
       SUMMARY...Widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms are expected
       to form this afternoon and spread eastward to the Mid-Atlantic
       coast.  The storm environment supports a mix of multicell clusters
       and some supercells capable of producing damaging winds and isolated
       large hail through late evening.
    
       The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
       statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest
       of Bridgeport CT to 30 miles west of Patuxent River MD. For a
       complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
       update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
    
  4. 17 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    Strongest Ambrose Jet of the season today with gusts 35-40 mph near the shore. Plenty of rip currents and very rough surf. Blowing sand will be common also.


    3F5F5DA3-39A5-4288-9E67-3C2010DDC46D.thumb.png.8624b77441a3b852786d004ceb854bf6.png

    AAB97603-6710-4096-B6FE-CA76936898DB.thumb.png.e7aa066c36fd325f999d46755be93886.png

    Pretty stiff southerly wind already at 7:30am when I got to work in Inwood on the south shore of Nassau County.

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