daxx

From my point of view we have had a good snow year.  Most of us are above climo.   I know Williamsport and State College area are  below normal, hopefully next year they cash in! Just two weeks ago I had an 18 inch snowstorm in late March!  I guess what I'm trying to say if it ends today I will be fine with what I got this year. If the snow gods want to give us more then that would make me even happier.Lol!

Put the Euro on the south list. Maybe some light snow and flurries. Not a good night for pa.

1 minute ago, maytownpawx said:

Add the Ukie to the way south camp. We lost several models tonight.

Yea... I've been nervous with this set up. We still have some time. Let's see what the Euro has to say.

Some good news the gefs mean is north of the ops run.

Just now, paweather said:

I can't even access it right now. but regardless give me the NAM/Euro on my side have back in the day the were 100%. CMC I should have gotten 50 plus" of digit snow. LOL.

Im not saying it is a great model, I was just saying it shifted South as well. Believe me I hope your right.

Cmc was not good either, its definitely south.

If models look like this tomorrow night I will be all in.  Don't get me wrong I'm excited, but I want just one more full day of model runs showing us getting snow in April. Paweather keep up the good vibes! 

Total from Maytown storm!

The Maytown storm is so close to being a big hit on 12z Euro. We do see some snow, surface is a little warm.  

2 minutes ago, maytownpawx said:

Yes. Trends are encouraging. Even with an anomalous air mass inbound we're going to need to be ripping to accumulate. This thing is going to have a pretty narrow stripe of snow OTG as those outside of the heaviest rates will be watching snow melt on contact with it coming during the daylight hours. We need to get those dark greens farther north. 

I'm really nervous with this one. It is moving northeast, but it is also sliding southeast at the same time.

South of pa gets a nice hit.

2 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Does anyone have any maps to post?

I'm sure paweather will be post shortly. 

The gfs was a little messy with the Maytown storm,but there is plenty of time.

The Maytown storm was so close to something big on the cmc!

12z cmc is basically a miss. Shows some light snow or flurries for the southern border counties.

Just now, paweather said:

Yep it is, GFS has the right idea just didn't get there totally yet but it is moving in the right direction. 

It gets the half inch qpf into the extreme southern border counties. Plenty cold for snow.

3 minutes ago, paweather said:

I still believe system 1 is the key if we can get that to come further north get the cold front out of the way earlier we will have a decent chance. 

What ever you are doing to will this thing north keep it up. 12z gfs is looking much better for the southern half of the state so far.

3 hours ago, maytownpawx said:

He has become the first person I've ever put on ignore on any online forum. 

I think the 2nd wave early next week is the one to focus on. Seems like there's an opportunity for 2 pieces of energy to phase on the east coast. Tricky, highly intricate setup, but man if everything comes together we could be looking at something far more than a nuisance. 

I agree Mike, wave two will have the best dynamics.  The one thing I don't like about it will be a stale cold airmass. Hopefully everything lines up perfectly and we score with both.

9 minutes ago, paweather said:

suppression tonight. Not giving up yet timing is everything on those fronts. More tomorrow. 

Yea...If the weekend storm doses not work out, we have the one early next week to track. I still think we see more snow,but how much is to be determined. 

18 minutes ago, snowsux said:

Models are always showing snow for PA during the first part of April. Do you guys get as giddy as this every year?

Let me try to answer your question honestly.  I absolutely get giddy tracking snow when I see a model showing it. Is it weird, well maybe but who gives a sh!t. I would like to ask you a question.  Do you get giddy posting stupid comments?

18 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

This mornings event seems like it quietly ended up targeting our folks "living on the fringes"... with 5-7" reports being pretty common around the Centre region (State College and surrounding), 4-5" where 2001kx is and the same around IPT where the climo station there reported 4.6" this morning. It seems the more robust high res NAM/HRRR amounts and somewhat further north placement of the heavy snow axis won the day. 

Yea it's nice to see places that miss out on snow, finally get the higher totals.