coastalplainsnowman

Looking at the snowfall reports on the Upton site, I'm really surprised to see just 4 reports for Nassau. I've often seen much more reports for far smaller storms. Just doing the ruler in the snow thing ths morning I ended up with 4 here. We did pretty well here from 10PM - 2AM. Given the initial burst and the compaction due to the sleet component which was there from like 8-10PM, if I was doing this with the board I'm likely more like 5. That was in the predicted range for my backyard. Looking at the Suffolk numbers, looks like a forecast that nearly verified or actually verified, just on the low end.

So much of it is about expectations. Prior to the 14th there was so much concern about a cold/dry, warm/wet pattern and how it would never snow again. Then the area averaged over 6" on Dec. 14th, and before the first flake began to melt there was wailing about how the second half of December would be one big extended torchfest. Yet here we are again with plowable snow in much of the area. After it rains Sunday/Monday, looks like we're in the 30s at best the rest of the week. There's not a member here, especially at the coast, who wouldn't have in October happily signed up for how this December has gone.

He must be really cold.

SE Nassau not quite moderate yet. Everything whitened. Sticking everywhere of course. Starting out today with a long walk on a bright 20 degree morning, staying below freezing all day as the high clouds started moving in, with flakes falling right on schedule. What a nice day after Christmas. Older I get, the more I try to enjoy these moments.

sorry about that

must....resist....Michael....Scott....joke.....

Great Odin's Raven what on earth is that?

Random question - who else remembers there was a storm awhile back - I can't remember if it was 5 or 15 years ago to be honest, where the NAM got it very right and the catchphrase on here was "You got NAM'd!" and that term stuck around for a little while before fading away. Anyone remember what storm that was?

sorry this is happening to you

Feels like an Old Milwaukee beer commercial. It doesn't get any better than this. That cringe was intentional. But true.

Upton's high end / low end probability maps show quite a range - for example, New Brunswick gets 8" in the high end, but a trace in the low end. Whenever I see this, in the few years that such maps have been published, my layman's takeaway is that there's big divergence among the models and/or a narrow jackpot zone, at least as of now. Is that an accurate take? Seems that way based on the maps that I've seen posted this morning.

Just the other day I stumbled into a thread highlighted in a twitter post, in which people were asking for advice on whether they should call the animal services, 911, etc due to a neighbor 'leaving' their huskies out in the cold and snow. Consistent with what you guys are saying here, the replies were along the lines of 'huskies love the cold and snow, they probably insist on staying outside' They said that if it's cold and raining that's a different story, but if it's dry it's totally fine and the dogs love it. My faith in humanity ticked up a bit. and I was actually pleasantly surprised to see, that the people asking about it had the sense to ask first before calling the police.

For the college football watchers, the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium between Penn State and Clemson is at noon Saturday. If the storm works out as hoped, that'll be a fun game to watch, even if the snow is winding down by then.

The recent and upcoming weather has got me thinking. Which of the following scenarios do you prefer: 1. Experiencing a 3-6" snowstorm right now, knowing it is going to be washed away by a rainstorm in 48 hours 2. Experiencing a dreary, misty damp day right now, but there's a 40% chance of 6-8" in 48 hours

I figure this is as safe a place as any to post this. Hear me out.. was just watching Fox Weather for more than 3 minutes straight for the first time. I'll say this much - at 1AM they were covering - wait for it - weather. Talking about the Dec 26/27th threat, naming each of the models, presenting what each is showing. Not taking itself too seriously. Beats the other late night weather options of When Tornadoes Attack or some such nonsense on TWC, or the Accuweather wall to wall equivalent of Local on the 8s interspersed with mattress commercials. Just saying - not the worst thing to have on the telly in the background. What's the saying? Don't @ me bro...

In which "snow weenies", to the general public, and especially to the wives and girlfriends of everyone on this weatherboard, is everyone on this weatherboard.

We definitely have the airing of grievances part covered.

Not to mention, being December 23rd it will be practically the best sun angle possible, especially at night.

Snowman posting a laughing emoji to MJO filled me with enough Christmas spirit to make Santa's sleigh fly without a jet engine.

That's HRRRible. (been wanting to use this for awhile.)

I prefer the stat of 'most consecutive days of snowpile' to the 'latest date of snowpile', and the best years to get those are one like this, where we get some decent snowpiles in mid december. Even with a few modest plowable snows spread out in a favorable way, you can keep replenishing and have a snowpile in one spot from December 14th into April.

I remember years asking on this forum (or probably a predecessor forum) what's the longest they've seen a plowed pile of snow last. Someone within this forum's geographic area responded June - I want to say it wasn't plowed but rather snow that had been somehow packed in somewhere in the shade on the side of some mountain. June!

To your point, unless one lives near Upton and are experiencing this, isn't this more about the fact that different parts of Upton's area, and even just LI itself, can have wildly different degrees of cloud cover?

Not 7-10 days ago there was much lamenting by some about what was considered to be an eternal cold/dry, warm/wet pattern in which it would never ever snow ever again. Yet here we are this morning with a moderate snowfall across virtually everyone's backyard. So certain 7-10 days ago, yet look outside the window. At least recognize that there's nowhere near anything approaching certainty as to whether we will or won't get another nice storm 10-14 days from now, no matter what any model says today.