rochesterdave

Snow in Jamestown and Niagara Falls!

61F at Watertown, 37F at Jamestown. Don’t see that often. Western zones don’t have too far to go. 18z 3k NAM remains interesting for a lot of zones. Especially Roc east to SYR. Lots of moisture still to work with. It’s a race. My best bet is still on upslope areas and Oswego County. I’m still gonna be shocked if kroc ends with over an inch or two.

It’s a different world up there. You lucky bastard!!!

Hey guys. I’m looking for a suggestion on links. I like to be able to quickly look at current conditions (especially in text form) for various locations in each state. I used to use weather underground current conditions map which gave me an interactive map showing all of the US and weather fronts and pressures. If I clicked on a state it then gave me a list of cities and their current conditions. That site has changed. Any suggestions?

Fighting over scraps

I’m in agreement. These little blips will at least make it fun. Begging for scraps this December.

3k NAM looks crazy for WNY. I might need hat recipes. Lol

That’s beautiful Wolfie. I’m grateful for your optimism! Seriously. I’m gonna post the 12k NAM and then laugh for an hour. I’ll eat my hat if this comes to fruition.

I’m looking at ALL the models. The best ones show ROC receiving between 1-3” total by late on the 25th with very marginal temps in between. We’ve been green for 10 days now. Huge rain on the way. I see that anemic energy for the 24th, it’ll spit rain or snow showers. Is it enough? I don’t think so. Upslope folks look marginal but better as does Oswego County. The BUF disco has been the same for days- dull and dreary. I really wish I saw something- anything- but I don’t. The euro has been our best hope and I bet it starts coming back to reality.

Man, these models! This pattern! Crap. This is tough to take. One of the longer periods of nothing that I can remember. I still don’t see much to get excited about. At least not for 10 days. Oh well. I gotta stop obsessing. The cake is baked- at least in Rochester, BUF and SYR. Enjoy the green Christmas! At least we had a white Thanksgiving!

What a great write up!

Tug looks pretty good. Weekend has always looked good for upslope areas. This El Niño crap is already old.

Models losing the secondary or keeping it west. Warm too. Not pretty.

4. Max.

Thanks Wolfie! Id take it and run. Lol

12z Canadianthis is a good trend. It’s a good model. The hires is also showing a secondary RGEM

0z Canadian

It’s a tricky, tricky set up. For any hope you need a few things to come together: an invigorated secondary, a track up ENY, self generated cold with enhanced precip rates and elevation. Even if all of the above occur they’ll likely happen at a local level. Upslope regions. Normal suspects. With all of that (negative sh..) said, I have seen this type of situation really hammer the Genesee Valley region. We won’t know until 36 hrs out. Inside straight is what we need at the lower elevations. Higher ones need a good pair. Nobody here likes a white Christmas more than me- gauntlet thrown into the fire.

I will be absolutely (and pleasantly) amazed if Rochester has a white Christmas. Goodluck everyone! Upslope folks look good!

Yep. Rain is most likely. It’s gonna take something big to change that consensus. Upslope areas might do ok on backend but I’ve learned to never count on that.

too far east LOL

PARA GFS and UKie have been onto that secondary for a couple runs. Looks fun

Snowfall map? Yesterday it looked good

You know I love you Freak, now take your meds. We’ve had lots of posters this winter. It’s a safe space.

By “our”, you must mean the 4 people who live in Oswego county. LOL