It is freaking brutal. Screw El Niño and his Pacific horse he rode in on. I allowed myself to be sort of manipulated by the overwhelming chorus of folks who kept saying, “yeah, but weak El Niño’s really are good”. Nah, all El Niño’s suck.
I don’t trust the models to tell us where the two lobes of the PV will end up yet. At least the SSW is throwing a wrench into the horrible machine that is this winter.