tombo82685

Timmy gone wild this morning

wise man, srefs are usually to amped up with everything due to the ARW family. I believe nam is involved in them but like yourself don't look at them

In Sne region

Ukmet counts sleet as snow. Look at Sne snow. Has that all as snow yet temps above freezing at 850

lol gfs, finally got off its blast the cold to the coast like an army campaign

nope, the 15dbz echo over monroe co

still generally looks like 6-12" event from what I'm seeing

While jacked up, its bit further southeast compared to 18z

comes out first on gem collaboration, the color maps.

yes

rgem still jacked up

Just hit freezing for the first time in a while

ggem looks drunk right now with its depiction. Always gotta respect big man highs spreading east

euro going to press that high a bit more here this run. Would think this ends up more progressive than 6z unless the caboose low really amps up

Drier

If ggem suite is correct then yes. But if these flatter models are correct looks more 6-12 to me

Like I stated last night, whichever model shows your backyard getting the most you go with. Toss everything else. 5 rules to the handbook among others 1: coldest and snowiest model is always correct regardless of its origin. I.E. KMA 2: always use the snow method that brings the most snow to your backyard. Whether it be kuchera, 10-1 or tidbit sleet being counted as snow 3. If the 850 line is below your house and the model shows rain, it’s wrong, storms create their own cold air. 4: storms can’t go through a HP. HP are walls. 5. 84hr nam maps are correct. Models correct to the nam, nam doesn’t correct to them.

Ukmet looks a bit nw of 0z from what I can tell from the 12hr maps

They didn’t change because there is less qpf but agreed, gfs came in stronger bit more amped with that 2nd wave

Lol I was just curious, cause they are terrible as they count sleet as snow

Just curious, why do you guys use tidbit snow maps when they are severely flawed?

Why not go 50-1, then lake effect on backside could do 75-1