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aldie 22

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Everything posted by aldie 22

  1. I was just assuming that yesterday day 3 was red which is now day 2 so they aren't showing that in the 3-7 day threats
  2. It is drier on the NW edge but man it juiced up to the South...honestly I see that as a positive for two days away if you get my drift
  3. It's going to get close to 50 today...I bet all of the warmth from the concrete warms the clouds making this a rainstorm only and since the concrete is so hot even the rain won't stick. We might as well live on the sun.
  4. I recall someone important years ago saying the least accurate aspect of models is the QPF output....I'm guessing clearly they generally are too wet but I don't know every bias...hold steady folks something significant is heading this way...and if it doesn't then something insignificant is heading this way.
  5. I don't think this is accurate...the trends were for it to be colder and be more of a coastal. The nam is more frozen, the euro was colder and a tad drier the gfs is a bomb the ukie is a bomb the cmc is the same as it always was a gigantic sleet bomb. Not sure there were any bad trends.
  6. Man that wetblanket fella is an awful poster
  7. I'm probably too aggressive with the rain part...not sure any model other than the nam showing rain at all right now even down by you. I predict you will get a significant event hoping more snow/sleet than freezing rain though. The pictures from Tennessee which was hit by a sleet bomb looked pretty much like snow after it accumulates over 2" I hope we all have fun with this one in some form
  8. 6z NAM still a pretty ridiculous sleet event at JYO...to me now the question to be solved isn't if it's going to be a significant event but what the amount of snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain combo will be. I'm hoping mostly snow but right now my thoughts are 60% snow, 25% sleet, 10% freezing rain, 5% plain rain for the entire event at JYO...subject to change of course
  9. In one of HMs threads on Twitter last week Colin canceled winter im like what talk about holding onto character for 20 years...yeesh
  10. At the very least I hope this thing stays as wet as the models are c saying
  11. It's not, it's a healthy amount of rain and freezing rain as well
  12. Could they make Blazing Saddles today?
  13. White Woman 1 and White Woman 2 lol
  14. I mean look at all of the extreme weather going on out there, even if it's not a big snow maker it sure seems like a pretty interesting winter event is heading this way. As long as it isn't just plain freezing rain i'm pretty pumped for whatever comes
  15. What's the matter Ralph is your area not in the good snow for this one yet?
  16. A friend of mine said the NAM is further West with the low now....just kidding that was psu
  17. I watched the history of food in America on the history channel last night. It was pretty fascinating...the candy bar wars were pretty wild from Hershey to Mars to Curtiss. I didn't know that Hershey fired some dude named Reese and he said oh yeah mother****er watch this!! I also finally learned what M&M stood for.
  18. Thursday could shake things up quite dramatically if it plays out as it looks now, of course we know it won't so congrats H20 on your victory
  19. I believe the consensus was to start it after the first 4" has fallen in D.C
  20. You mean dec 2020....sure lol have you ever really measured yourself?
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