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H2Otown_WX

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Everything posted by H2Otown_WX

  1. H2Otown_WX
    Any analogs (not December '92 lol) come to mind looking at that run? Feb '13?
  2. H2Otown_WX
    I like how the block causes it to shoot straight east from the Delmarva
  3. H2Otown_WX
  4. H2Otown_WX
    FWIW: https://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=EC&fhr=F144&rundt=2025010600&map=tbl You'll notice some ominous analogs in the top 5 including 2/10/10 and 1/20/00 I couldn't recall the storm in February of 2014 listed there but apparently the Cape got crushed: https://rightweather.com/2014/02/southern-new-england-snow-totals-february-15-2014/ Using purely analogs of the GFS evolution it would appear the ceiling of potential is 1/27/11.
  5. H2Otown_WX
    Gotcha...I know BDL did really well in that December 2019 storm. I don't think we got much here but I was living out in Milwaukee at the time.
  6. H2Otown_WX
    Yeah I was just looking at that. That storm and the one in December were good. I think I had a foot or so in each. I see southeast NY really cleaned up in the February one.
  7. H2Otown_WX
    Yeah I get it, your area averages like low 60s per season right? Did you get porked in December 2020? I think February '21 or '22 had a good storm here too.
  8. H2Otown_WX
    Didn't you notch a 20 burger last season?
  9. H2Otown_WX
    Close but no cigar...I don't think it's the worst spot to be in at D6. If you look at h5 at hr 150 we're not far from it being a forum wide crusher.
  10. H2Otown_WX
    Ohhhh ok. Cool, just found it on Tidbits. The 18z made a pretty big jump at hr 144 vs 150 on the 12z.
  11. H2Otown_WX
    What the hell is Skynet? Sounds like a PWS network of weenies reporting their weather conditions to the local news.
  12. H2Otown_WX
    Hate to say it but I could see this going that rout. PTSD in full effect. I can't believe that was 10 years ago.
  13. H2Otown_WX
    Ok wow yeah I didn't realize there was that much in 2016 there. SnowGoose just explained what happened with NYC in Juno and why they got more than surrounding areas.
  14. H2Otown_WX
    January 2016 probably
  15. H2Otown_WX
    It's not even that cold lol
  16. H2Otown_WX
    They probably had less, I had 6" 80 miles NE of them.
  17. H2Otown_WX
    I did, but it has flip flopped every run since yesterday's 18z. I guess it's a small sample size but we'll see.
  18. H2Otown_WX
    Is it a red flag that it keeps oscillating between leaving the energy in the SW behind on the 00 and 12z runs and phasing it on the 06 and 18z? I know there was discussion earlier today about how the off hour run thing doesn't exist but that seems suspiciously coincidental.
  19. H2Otown_WX
    Partial phase?
  20. H2Otown_WX
  21. H2Otown_WX
    Snowgoose says it's a no go in the NYC thread and I respect the hell out of him as a forecaster.
  22. H2Otown_WX
    Maybe time for an avatar change to shake things up?
  23. H2Otown_WX
    Its own ensembles think it's out to lunch...almost half have nothing and a few are suppressed to the south congrats DC-PHL type deals. Looks like maybe 3 that are similar to the OP.
  24. H2Otown_WX
    Looks nearly identical to the 18z GFS until it jumps SE in the later panels. I'm wondering why it's so progressive when we have the blocking in place? I guess because the block is relaxing a bit in that timeframe?
  25. H2Otown_WX
    Do you have the prior frames or does it not form until hr 174?
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