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Posts posted by DopplerWx
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919 extrap. holy...
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it is right on track, atlanta is not going to see 40mph+ gusts over an extended period.
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looks like some amazing fall weather coming in behind michael friday, lows in the low 50s thru the weekend! FINALLY some crisp nights!
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thinking the cold front showing around the 15th may be legit, will be one heck of a shock to most when/if we go from 80s and humidity to highs in the upper 50s and lows in the 40s!
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14 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:
Yep, and just today the GFS has pushed it back yet again, now showing 14th-16th. It's all a hoax, cool downs are a thing of the past for the SE.
don't even need a cold front, just getting us to near average would be a godsend. crazy our avg lows now are in the low to mid 50s! by 10/14 our avg low will be 49 and we likely won't even be sniffing upper 50s! brad p tweeted earlier that september was so warm in charlotte that it was warmer than 73 of the July's on record. (1878-2018).
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9 minutes ago, Powerball said:
FWIW, the humidity has dropped off a bit.
Dewpointa are now in the low 60s, lol.
yea i noticed it wasn't quite as hellish this morning, but still i would love some true fall dewpoints.
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euro and gfs thru the end of the run are STILL ridiculously warm.
this sucks.
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53 minutes ago, BK Rambler said:
Latest dates for first <60 temp:
ATL 10/8 (1911, 1925) only five years in total occurring in October - ATL has yet to reach 60 this year
CLT 10/5 (1881) only three years total occurring in October - note CLT hit 54 on 8/24 this year so curious about Brad P's statement
Greenville, SC (not GSP) 10/13 (2005) only instance in October (note GVL was 61 and GSP was 59 the morning of 8/24 this year)
Raleigh (not RDU) 9/25 (1906) - note Raleigh was in the fifties 8/24 & 25 this year
he meant for the month of september. sorry i meant to say no temps below 60 for the month of sept.
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just announced that the euro will run 4 cycles/day starting in oct. winter will be fun, and cliff diving will be even more prevalent now!
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Brad P noted that this will likely be the first year since 1933 that CLT hasn't dipped below 60. Crazy stat as our avg lows now should be around 55 right now. Are some low dew points too much to ask for!?
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gfs finally showing some cold fronts coming down around the 27th. euro showing it too. would be nice to get our first crisp morning around the first of october!
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12z gfs has no 50s (or even lows 60s) thru the end of the run.
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2 minutes ago, SENC said:
Eyewall passed directly over me then it was quite then all hell broke loose my lil weather station measured 110mph wind gust before a oak tree took it off my garage roof,. HEAVY damage here at my house,, huge live oak down, lots of debris. Lucky to still be alive.lucky none took out the house On genator back up. Whole city without power I'm told.Bout broke my leg 4,am starting genator. Sry ty PP ing on little phone one handed. Internet is down here
glad you are safe!
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6 minutes ago, downeastnc said:
Right but they wobble....its done this all afternoon....averaged out it looks like this....
watch the radar, it is moving wnw, storms dont travel in a straight line. *click to animate
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look at those cloud tops, wow!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=06L&product=vis
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12 minutes ago, thunderwolf said:
I can agree with this assessment. NHC still shows the movement as of the 1pm update NW at 10 mph.
recon shows a near due west turn over the past 3 passes.
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9 minutes ago, shaggy said:
Problem is she has consistently been on the very northern edge of the guidance and damn near left the cone yesterday. I posted their disco about continuing it NW today due to the "well established" ridge.
She may putthe brakes on and go due wnw right now but she hasn't done it yet and each hour that she moves NW puts her having to make a sharper turn. This could have large implications into central and eastern NC.
per the most recent recon pass the center as already begun the turn.
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3 minutes ago, ryan1234 said:
It appears that she is already moving more to the west. Almost every model has her moving W then WSW. Now she may not make "hard south turn, but it's hard to go against modeling when there seems to be a general consensus.
yeah, a lot of wishcasting it into northern nc it seems. literally every model shows a nw drift followed by a west southwest turn.
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3k nam is ridiculous, widespread 10"+ totals inland and still raining late saturday.
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11 minutes ago, tramadoc said:
Looks to my untrained eye that if it continues on the track it's on (looks like almost NNW) that it would make landfall around Beaufort, NC.
Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk
you can see the slowdown and slow drift westward here
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=MHX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
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center tightening up and convection firing around the center now that she is over the gulf stream, several models showed strengthening as it approached the coast and took the left turn.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=06L&product=ir
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2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:
Atlantic Beach Pier is about to go down. The waves are knocking the end of the pier sideways. Wont be long.
got a link?
EDIT: nevermind, found it https://www.surfline.com/surf-report/oceanana-pier/584204204e65fad6a7709992
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3k nam just offshore wilmington at 15hr. shows the core really tightening up as it approached the coast.
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some cold cloud tops exploding on the western eyewall now
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=06L&product=ir
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Hurricane Michael
in Southeastern States
Posted
i've been weary of any sig winds near clt but with the RI as it made landfall and the insanely impressive eyewall structure even as it is completely over land...this will catch a lot of people off guard. goodness.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=14L&product=ir