Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Just spoke with a friend in south eastern Adams county who said they are getting street flooding in their development. Radar does not look "that bad" but it must be coming down there.
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Western PA/Pittsburgh Fall Weather Discussion
Bubbler86 replied to Ahoff's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You guys should work with the Capitol (Harrisburg) area crew who cannot seen to ever stay below their forecasted temp. Find a happy middle ground where everyone's forecast is right. -
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2:30. Should be some cells developing in (mostly) Central and Eastern LSV soon.
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I look up a lot of stuff under Multi-Station then pick the state under station selection. You can also do the bounding area with Lat and Long numbers.
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@TimB84 has all the goods.
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76 and delightful out. DP is 67 which is not perfect but clouds and breeze make up for it.
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Yes, could be quite the nice/cool late Sept for PA. I saw the West is getting real signs of winter. We have had an average September so far.
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It was a real surprise when I just noticed it. Obviously they were all prior to HIA/MDT.
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"Expected" is a stretch but the afternoon GFS has snow in PA in less than two weeks.
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Hey @paweather, notice how we squashed that governmental averages report. Now readers are coming away feeling invigorated in their 12Z GFS Digital cold. LOL
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The lows on there could conceivably give most LSV stations not named MDT a run for the record of 35. MDT would be lucky to break 50 though. I was surprised to see that MDT has hit freezing 3 times in Sept. Two days in 1963 and once in 1947.
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Yea, I noticed that first before I went into details of how it started. Verbatim that would pump cold that is within a few degrees of records down over us (at least for MDT). A couple days of -15 to -20 departures would knock the snot out of any remaining positive.
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The progression on the surface is a little wonky. The low passes into N/E and then seemingly transfer back west and moves west for several frames.
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Quite the mark. Would be incredible to get MDT over the Sept hump concerning recorded snow.
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More indications of a (VERY) early winter preview coming up.
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CAD time.
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That was what I was trying to suggest but in my own words.
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it's similar to this AM. Very shallow warm as to depth it get into the North East. Probably washed away in a couple days.
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GFS trying to set the ridge back up for warmer weather the second half of that period.
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I did not read the AFD but model wise there is no indication of it being warm, if that means above average, the first 2-3 days of that period. That is out to the limits of the Euro and CMC.
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Remember, those maps are not temp based they are percentage based. So for 2/3 of PA they are saying 55% Chance above, 45% chance below.
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Negative departure/autumn feel people are going to like what the GFS is selling.
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One thing I did note is that the GFS, HRRR, Nam and 3K are all quite rainy for the LSV this afternoon.
