Bubbler86

This am's daily summary confirms that MDT's total qpf received over the last 72 hours was 1.80". The dry slot apparently got them hard.

I do not either. Will wait to see their official summary tomorrow. The other thing that bothers me in the simulated radar. I checked their daily summary for yesterday and it matches the airports readings of .47 through midnight so I suspect it will match tomorrow for 9/23.

I called the NWS at CTP and they verified that the airport is going down as 1.8". I thought it was low as well but I needed the exact figure for one of my construction clients doing their daily field reports. This whole thing is a mess. They also verified that LNS is 1.66. I showed them this chart and they said these are COOP reports and not official. What a cluster. I would be really going off the deep end except the usually reliable radar simulation report is verifying correctly almost everywhere that takes official readings. Its a tad low for MDT and LNS but within 1/2". Edit-I will check the official daily summaries tomorrow AM and see if I was told the truth or if they just like to jerk with people who call.

Pivotal having issues right now. What is the corresponding ground truth from it?

I see that now. A loop back into Northern NE. Well at least nothing higher than the low 70's on the CMC as well.

We all win where we=fallinista's. But if anything is based on this triple play becoming reality, I would prefer to not count on it. Should spark up the NE thread though.

Post storm shows two large area maxes. Far South Central PA and the MSV and west into CTP area. Take with a grain of salt since we have seen several local reports higher than the overall area reports. More posting for the large scale look.

Looks like MDT will be coming in at an event total of 1.75"ish.

Its going to be a mixed bag as looking at radar estimated, most of the central and eastern LSV is still under 2". Waiting for any final updates. Looks like York will come in under 2" (Thomasville). The models had that jackpot look to them yesterday where a few would score but not the whole area.

LNS just came in and they are at an event total of about 1.2" over the last 24 hours. Still raining but not for long. Not at all saying your station is wrong as you must have had enhanced rain prior to sunrise.

There was a fairly large dry slot that ran up through the middle of the LSV. I expect lots of under 2" totals there. I would think LNS will go up at 10AM as will MDT. Not sure they get to 3" though....Maybe LNS?

MDT is only reporting slightly over 1" as of 9AM.

Yep, I got up near 3" with one last burst this AM. The 2-3" calls were decent. 3-5" seems overblown though I guess technically if you got 3.1" it was right. They were probably basing it on the rain intensifying into the day info last night. Models were pretty clear the rain was gone from the LSV by mid morning.

Only a few more hours until it potentially changes sides.

Clearing very quickly in Western LSV. Hardly a cloud to the west. Sunny and 57.

I thought the forecasted totals ended up being pretty close. I was a sceptic at first. The call for the rain to intensify into the day, or however the wording was stated, was not good for the LSV but may be more appropriate for Northern areas of their forecast area.

Yea, its going back and forth for next week so not worrying about it yet. Would hate to go back to the 80's in October though.

Yikes, long day. You had to earn those 30 days off. LOL. I did see that down south of Aberdeen. The radar is about as deep red as it can get before going pink. Probably some fairly major street flooding down there.

Wow, that is ALOT more than the 72 hour rain totals have. I know they can be behind some times but they are over 2" behind now. Rain should be closing up shop over the rest of the LSV in the next hour. Harrisburg and west is mostly done now. One line near Carlisle still has some oomph.

And keep the other eye on this snow (though GFS is quite warm next week).

That storm was on the last GFS I looked at as well. All conjecture at that range but in the case of the Euro a scenario like that would be flood town as it is busy dropping copious about of rain already in the M/A at 240. Dry the whole run before that though.

Yea, I saw you guys had a delay and "pending decision" on whether to go full day or start school. When I do those precip maps I try to get the top of MD to include you. LOL.

Interesting dry slot up into Harrisburg. That was on several models. Amazing they can forecast that.

Some mighty impressive totals around Frederick again. More flooding and schools closures there.

56 and cloudy. Dry out time. Looks like Adams will soon be done and Cumberland is finishing up now.