Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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I figured. I am just always on the "lets get at least normal precip" wagon.
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Definitely warmer recently but the HIA side of the temps seems to be part of it, right? It was 45 in York this AM. HIA and its surrounding area was 8 degrees higher.
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Twice in the same year
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MDT matched you that day. TimB will be unhappy if that happens this year.
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We seem destined for our second Sept in a row with no 90's. Scanned back to 2000 (MDT) and it was fairly common the first decade but then 7 Septembers in a row from 2013 to 2019 had 90's in Sept.
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Quick scanned the GFS and CMC. Whacko LP scenarios seem gone. Generally seasonal weather. GFS a little toasty near the end.
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Low of 43 this AM. 45 right now. THV made it to 45.
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That is where you and I will always see things differently. A dry period of a few days. Sure, carry on. A dry period of 45 days? That is moon weather. Fortunately, from my view, Wed looks quite wet as of now.
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Yes, but that was assumed right? We have kicked summer to the curb!. LOL. A bit of a close call next week. Probably some low 80's in the LSV hot spots.
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Its close enough further on to merit a wary eye from NY to New England.
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Would be an interesting event in some manner. Looking at the EC it would be a potential flooding situation for S/C PA. QPF charts are not super high but a dying low spinning off the Atlantic and stalling over PA/NE MD as it rains itself out.
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I think MDT taking their top reports and making it look like an area wide event also cast some doubt over the whole thing. Taking a look at the two day ACIS reports, you see a much more moderate look than CTP's graphic. Most of these over 3" are well north of the LSV. Hit and miss on the big figures and the general LSV totals were more in the 1.75 to 3" totals. I am sure most of the high reports are real it was just not area wide.
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There there is the CMC which takes this first system has it do a death dive to the left into NJ to allow the second more ambitious system to head for New England. Like yesterday, the MR runs are very squirrely as to low placements
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Not sure I would call it a 'Cane but here it is ready to jump all over the MA after heading almost Due East for about 48 hours and then the string is pulled and it Yo Yo's South West.
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Good stuff on the 12Z GFS. Has a Major 'Cane (not going to look up which name it is) going by way to the East in the Atlantic with a new tropical system spawning to the larger systems West while at our latitude. The new storm beelines for the East Coast and is about to head up the Chessie as moderate tropical system then, yoink, it stops and retrogrades Southwest to never been seen again. The end result is a run of beautiful weather with basically no rain for half a month.
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MDT Departures: Going into a period where they start going back down at least some days. Starting at +2.3 as of today. The normal high at MDT is 74 right now and stays above 70 until October 7th. Normal low is currently 55 and stays above 50 until October 9th.
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The direct sunlight issue has always been my problem.
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Here is a pic of paweather posting it. Had to swing.
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Not the one at MDT apparently. :-)
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And the simulated radar is also wrong/different. No one says that simulation is perfect but its off by over 2" for a wide area. Its a mess.
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It bugs me because I have to report it for job sites. With NWS going officially at their number, that is the number I went with.
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This figure does agree with the the official figures vs. their other graphics.
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I saw your mention of that. Close to Cap.
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Also see Capital City Airports WBAN station recorded only 2" in the last 72 Hours.
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44 here right now.
