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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. 12Z Rgem is down several degrees from its mid 90's predict tomorrow so more in line with other guidance now. Upper 80's to low 90's. Still too hot :-)
  2. The HRRR shows it in SW PA and Northern WV at this time as well but it lifts north into the afternoon. So I am hoping I get some action but not assured here yet. The radar does look more impressive than the HRRR presentation. 3K lifts is so far north, there is nothing in the LSV. So models are going to fail badly if this thing stays straight east.
  3. It has been waffling back and forth with each run. I posted a snip last night where it was concentrated from Williamsport and north east. So yea, all eyes should stay to the sky :-).
  4. 12Z Hrrr misses the middle and lower parts of the LSV. the area of concern seems to be quite compact regardless of where it goes. Bowling ball. It also shows some rain passing through the LSV tomorrow afternoon into early evening.
  5. Being close to Baltimore, I am singing Yankee Doodle Dandy this AM while also watching an incredible STORY in Boston.
  6. It was always going to be in the low to mid 80's today so you are still on track :-).
  7. Yea, it is been showing up on models for a few days but was more focused in smaller areas until yesterday. Here is the NAM from Wed showing it south of us and a bit earlier. GFS at this time had it North of us.
  8. Quite wet and 57 here this AM. Looking forward to the rain today.
  9. That is some heavy ass rain for our Northern Brethren tomorrow. Extends down into the LSV as well (before this shot). MDT AFD mentions frequent lightning.
  10. This is just model discussion but on the 18Z GFS, counting Friday-Mon for Memorial Day weekend, the highest temp MDT reaches is Friday AM around 60. The majority of the weekend is 50-58ish. Crazy time. This goes on until Wed!
  11. Euro is not as bad but we are at the base of a minor trough so it is unsettled.
  12. 2021. Bermuda High becomes a half way to Africa high so instead of the ring of heat, we get the Mississippi firehose on the outside of the ring. Highs struggle to break 50 a day or two here.
  13. I am with you, 90 seems quite likely for many. I was mostly watching for the recording breaking/ super anomalous stuff. It always worried me that the GFS was 10 degrees lower than the CMC.
  14. He says that every day....LOL. That was the forecast a run or two ago. Time for a down run.
  15. @TimB how is memorial day looking on the GFS and CMC? LOL Good gravy
  16. Add the CMC, Fv3 and UK to the Nam and GFS in saying Sat will be hot but not 90's hot. I still bet many hit 90 but not buying the upper 90's totals seen earlier in the week.
  17. Contest closes July 13th. Make your way out to the Vet asap. When Harry Kalas talks, we just obey.
  18. If the GFS is right (prolly not) the heaters may have to do some TRAVELLING down south for their 90's.
  19. So you are watching the GFS weather updates intently to make sure you get your food. LOL.
  20. When it is wet like this, 53 is a lot different than 53 and sunny.
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