Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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PS on the Radar estimate I am using, over the last 12 hours, the highest around Mt Joy is .29. Goes up to closer to 1/2" near Pinkerton Road to the south of Mt Joy.
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Thanks for verification. That unsoakens my soaker comment a bit as I was basing it on the live radar I viewed this AM which showed high dBZ's through much of the LSV South of the Harrisburg general area. Less the farther east one went. I have my spotters reporting on the ground .2-.3 inches in Eastern Cumberland county.
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The glitch in the radar really surprises me. Not so much on the estimated. But makes sense if they both were not reporting correctly.
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Ha. If you guys were fighting Virga it may not have mattered. Either way I am glad you cashed in on some much needed rain. Wish Harrisburg and North could have as well.
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Almost 1.2" for you now.
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South and South East of Lancaster had two rain+ lines move through that both dumped .5 to 1" each per estimated. Looking at the radar review (forgetting estimated and just looking at the live radar) the .3 to .5" would have to be too low imo but maybe some massive virga? Estimated had you between .15 and .3 depending on side of town for Mt Joy.
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I have a spotter reporting of ~ .2" in Lemoyne so some areas there did better.
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Closing in on 2" estimated S/E of Lancaster City.
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The HRRR spanked anything else I looked at. Hopefully that umbrella came in handy.
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Hopefully you get a bit more.
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Over 1" just south of Lancaster City and they are getting hammered again right now. A little sparse Harrisburg and North.
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Central and Southern LSV soaker.
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The HRRR wants to skip me with the best stuff and give Canderson/central lsv the treatment tomorrow AM.
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Latest HRRR Bullseyes areas to my east for tonight's opening round of rain. About 1" in Carlisle.
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Looks like a peaceful property. Almost like your own little canal there.
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Lol.
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You Probably need the Ohio Valley low to hold on longer than most progs predict. I would still keep the umbrella handy the next 3 days.
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What could be an extended period of on and off rain has commenced. The entire run of the 18z Hrrr is frequent rain. Unfortunately the east lsv is still much drier.
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Met 1-Therm broke again, what do you do about our daily low? Met 2-We better put a 5 in front of it or Blizz is going to be calling again.
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HRRR would be potential spotty flooding for the SW LSV. Still Miller Bing far North and East unfortunately. Could be some 3-4" totals when the HRRR is done.
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12Z HRRR coming in really wet tomorrow. a 1-2" bullseye between us. If this were a snowstorm the Nam would have had 4-6' a few days ago.
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There could be rain in the area from this afternoon through Wed so a lot better chance than our two dry days Fri and Sat :-)
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It is still on the table just not flooding rains. Farther east one goes might be Miller B'ed though.
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I think you and I are still in a good spot but looking less likely for central LSV to get over 1". S/W does not get captured further until out in the Atlantic.
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53 this Am
