Some 40"s in cold spots tonight...low to mid 50's others. Of course that happened in August too. Have to take what you can get. Does look very warm though normal highs are still in the 70's in early October.
There is no denying temps are getting warmer but did any models predict those 90 days in Bradford...that is the wonderment. Mdt wise the results were much warmer than the predicts and that is both a worry and a question on environmental influence. We had By far the coolest Aug in 4 years in my part of the area and models predicted some of that.
In 2011 Bradford reached 90 in September. In 1941 MDT reached 97 on October 5th and 7th: higher than any temp MDT reached this summer. In 1984 MDT reached 75 on Dec 29th. Those types of records are the shockers to me.
brad
Bradford is North and West of Harrisburg but there are in or close to D0 at this point. Compared to historical numbers it was a warm summer there. Do they have good equipment? That is a question. We know MDT is having all kinds of issues. Bradford has two recording stations so I took the airport for this post as it was the warmer station...they recorded two days 90 or above the entire summer and none in July or August. In 2020 they had one day at 90 or above and none in 2021.
82 coming up on 3:30. 66DP
Definitely relative for seasonal trends but does Bradford end up higher than almost all models every sunny day? Averages are definitely going up regardless of elevation and urban.
It just goes a step toward saying we have a new normal especially more urban/lower areas. The thing that stands out to me is that most models under forecasted the HIA areas on an almost daily basis.
Yep, that is my feeling as well. Not constant extreme heat but no breaks. I am not a good example because of our big differences over here but my family is in Etters so they were in the thick of it.
3.5 degrees AN just seems less than stellar when it comes to historical records. Hitting 91 when the average is 86 is ho-hum. My family thinks it was a mild summer and not at all hot (near MDT) and I can't argue with them. No real super hot stretches. Just no real cool stretches in Aug either. Just 30-45 min from MDT the elevated areas had a downright cool Aug.
Night time low driven I assume (for #2 record). That is very much HIA driven. The highs were not that bad even at MDT. 18 or so of the days were AN but most only 4-6 degrees with several just 1-2 degrees.
If I take a 100 year view of my temps it would not be that sensational as to being cool but when you have an Aug with only one day at 90 or above and 4-5 nights 47-54 its going to come in way BN. I did not crunch Cashtown's numbers but can see he had 4-5 nights 54 and below (no 40's) and only two days 90 or above so he is probably well BN when compared to MDT's numbers as well. Counting today he will have had 7 days where it did not reach 80.
Nooners....72 and sunny. Another BN day on tap. Going to end up the month about 5BN using MDT's numbers with about 2/3 of that being driven by several nights in the 40's and low 50's. This is my 4th summer back and this month will be ~7 below the coolest of the other 3 Augusts which were all much hotter. Hit 90 just one day in Aug 2022 while we had 6 in Aug 2021. Not far from a summer without summer though lots of 80's so not quite.
Yea, I was just letting you know I did not have any news to add despite being here in the county...not doubting what you heard. There was just a 15 mile backup I passed on 81 (backup going south). Central Hagerstown back toward Chambersburg.