Bubbler86

Here come the people who argue drinking a spiked water means no dehydration!

It is stupendous. Early nooners here 71 and variably cloudy.

Down here that is all we will be though like I said the authority in Waynesboro has warned that grass watering may be legally curtailed next week. Lots of people over seeding and watering their grass. Areas already in drought may not have fun the next 3 weeks if progs are close to right. I took a cursory look at MDT since April and the longest stretch MDT has gone without .1" of rain was 10 days. GFS is talking almost double that at 18 days unless they get a surprise early next week. Just model talk and not a forecast.

They take a holistic, big picture view on those maps using stream guidance and soil moisture. Re: if you got 1" of rain over 8 hours that will help lower this more vs. 4" in 30 min. I have a client that works at USGS so I hear some stuff coming up. They get people writing them, on FB, when they occasionally post these maps. "It just rained and I am in D1, whaaa" and they explain it in a reply. Much of their FB is shake/earthquake stuff which is fairly interesting.

Nationwide Drought map is pretty colorful. In PA, small area still D1. Larger D0. Pillow still D0, MDT just out of it but may expand back in next week at this time.

I am sure it has happened before but can't recall an area this size, on the East Coast, showing little to no precip during a non winter month. Even during the really dry summer back several years (here) it always showed at least .25" of convective rain. From Harrisburg to Atlanta. The fantasy Cane is gone.

We have only received about 1/3 of the normal rain for Aug and Sept. Prior we were doing great. Our little Rouzerville pond is way down suddenly 2-3 weeks with no rain at all is the worry.

I was just told, based on models, water limitations may be issued here end of next week.

Have to keep the AC on to keep the house at 67.

It hits the Central and Eastern LSV pretty good. Was not there at 0Z. It is 10 days away though so things will be super dry even if that occurred.

Home grown weak 'Cane on the 6Z GFS. Forms off the SE coast.

I think you are right. I was going under the impression the whole LSV was under a FFW so my comment about another low rain FFW is invalidated!

47 and downright chilly here this AM.

Interesting. I had a weather alert on my phone that said I was under a watch. We actually got 3/4" of rain so it was not too far off.

I actually did not look but was told (outside this forum) that all the LSV was in the watch. That may have been wrong? I thought I received a note on my phone about being in the watch here in Franklin as well?

I will add that one of my comments was serious...when there is a flood watch for an area and it does not rain at all...that is a bit of a miss if the area is large enough. But yea, a flood watch does not mean it is definitely going to flood.

Uberdrought. Next two weeks qpf.

Yea, I was kidding and joining in on the no rain in the north hate train. Always hard to have something apply to everyone uniformly.

The new definition for Flood Watch is 'Watch TWC for others having flooding"

Light rain and a sticky 63 here but not a lot of rain the last 24 hours. Another flood watch of no need in the books.

Meso's promise additional precip is possible anywhere in the LSV into tomorrow AM...as we prepare for the great fall drought of 2022 as modeled right now.

GFS out to hour 360. Almost all this PA qpf is today. That is ugly.

Southern tier of the LSV getting most of the action right now.

Their process of 3 tier ordering/paying/picking up works quite well despite the lines. I ado not eat meat so am just getting some yummy waffle fries.

Yea, I saw you made it out ok Saturday night...the rain only made it up to MD. VA and far southern PA by that point.