Bubbler86

During Irma some people got caught out in the Tampa bay when the tide rolled in and surrounded them. Helicopter had to come get them. They all blamed Nick Saban.

I know who you think will win! LOL.

Get those mowers ready

It is really a landfall when the area below you had 10-15' of water on it?

I just saw a video of a woman in a Sanibel hotel (on stilts so surge below them, hotels not on stilts are under or in water) and there were no doors open yet the wind was howling through the hotel and water was permeating somehow so the entire hotel was getting rained on with no doors opened.

The cam out of Sanibel showing the force of the eyewall is amazing but scary bad.

They do appear to be on the Eastern side. Keep reading the eastern side is weaker than west with this storm. Saw pics/web cams showing water up to the top of a stop sign. That is 5-10'.

Nooners, cloudy and 55 outside. 64 in the house.

Irma pulled the bay WAY out of Tampa in 2017 but little to no big surge followed as the storm went in too far south...so not always a prelude to something bad.

In my interpretation, the storm clearing Florida and then going back West into GA/SC makes a huge difference for us up here. Similar to it missing a front and meandering to our SW. Now some progs like the GFS minor it out over the US and are a lot drier than that WPC maps.

Yea, last min panic.

Some people I know just went to a shelter last min.

This is one of the additional tragedies that is not often mentioned...all the animals that will drown.

41 for low this AM.

Already 8-10" of rain is some areas of SE Florida.

Tough to say anything is likely as of now.

I am surprised Canderson did not go into convulsions when he saw that post. Over 40 is just a normal day in the Burg.

Definitely some location dependent. I lived in Ocala and Bradenton a combined 15 years and never had a wind gust over 60 except in Irma. Lots of 50's with T-Storms. Here in far southern PA I have had 3 gusts over 70 and dozens over 60 in the last 4 years but its the constant wind that is the big difference. I played a lot of tennis in Florida and except rare occasions, the wind was not an issue. Up here it is a constant issue as it is rare we go a week without winds in the 30's. I would go as far to say that we have 2-3X the amount of windy days here than I did in Bradenton or Ocala. Best of luck down there. I can tell you form my Irma experience that the effects on the East Coast from Miami to Jax were far understated as to what really played out. Tens of thousands of people on the east coast were without power for weeks.

Euro has the big high shunt Ian to the west and quickens the speed of rain into Southern PA starting early Saturday. The SLP is over KY Sunday afternoon. The low actually never gets sent East and dissipates/retrogrades south through early next week before making a run north again.

Have not seen that much of a stall yet but definitely not an early Saturday rainer here anymore. More Sun-Tue.

The 12Z 'Cane models are driving the storm a bit farther north due to the delay in it gaining latitude...and slightly less effects from the High. Still showing a right turn eventually though.

Wow, I have no trips planned. Not living my life right I guess. LOL. Good thing you are not going to Sanibel late this Sept!

There are evacuating Sanibel and Captiva now. @Itstrainingtime, when were you going down there? Maybe next year?

Chilly 45 start

Great info such as My uncle visited Sarasota in 1974 and was there for some thunderstorms so this is going to be a nightmare....or, I once flew into PIE and I saw some canals that looked suspicious so I am thinking people on the east coast are in trouble.