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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Hour 22 its snowing in earnest through the top 1/2 of VA and bottom 2/3 of PA. 998 Low in WV and 996 Low in Central NC
  2. No major 850 push as of 1PM tomorrow as the snow starts sneaking into S PA. (HRRR)
  3. Still snowing in SC at 8AM tomorrow morning on the HRRR.
  4. And the "HRRR cannot be used outside of XXX hours" gang is running out of time.
  5. Come on HRRR. Crank that 850 over KY/WV up. Daddy needs a new snowpack.
  6. Well it is not just temps. Check out this 36 hour map from the 12Z Euro. Inland Low still at or below the "coastal". Less easterly push, longer snow. If you look closely you can see a 998 down and to the right of the 996. That is the coastal. Still looks like a dual low to me. Of course this has HUGE chance for failure to the good or bad. a dual low to
  7. Something is going to bust....Nam/GFS/Rgem -OR- HRRR/Euro
  8. He also advised you to put something in/on the tap (PM, right?) so which way did you go? LOL.
  9. Yep. Sometimes its just weenie hopes but it has robbed us in the past so it could stand to pay us back sometime, right?
  10. I know sometimes weenies over emphazie this stuff, but there have been many storms that had drastically changed results due to non forecasted convection.
  11. It could be -20 2M temp right now but if we get an easterly fetch straight from the Atlantic, it will raise fast. Water temp is 46 in VA beach right now and 43 at Cape May. Not happy just talking what the model is showing.
  12. It's actually clearing out here so it will be your way shortly. Thinking we have a shot at zero tonight.
  13. If the low is over Clearfield, there will be some very mild temps in S/E PA.
  14. It does have that and its due to the strong SE fetch with the low over Atomix. But it is in the middle of the night. 6Z.
  15. GFS gets you near 50 early Monday AM. A/C ready to go?
  16. GFS also with an early transfer unfortunately. Biggest change this run is talking the SLP up into Western PA so dry slot takes over more of PA.
  17. I wonder if the plows in Buffalo can handle real snow vs the fake snow they usually get? Buffalo plow driver: "What is this 8-1 stuff"?
  18. And our friend the HRRR. Usually we root for the primary to give in but now when the secondary has its eyes on the UNV.
  19. That is a lot more reasonable both for snow predictions and our eyes.
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