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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Mod-Heavy snow overspreading Southern PA next Saturday AM on the 18Z GFS. More west where 8-12" falls....2-5" for much of the LSV. Little to no rain.
  2. With so little snow this year I am surprised NWS did not have it in their zones. It has been snowing on and off here for hours....just light and no accums.
  3. If you are not out shoveling maybe you bring home HH? We have something to track now...at least for next 30 min.
  4. Today's 12Z suite made me open the blinds and I am seeing occasional flakes/flurries and 37 degrees at Rou.
  5. 240 bears watching as well as the 540 line starts sinking south with a system brewing in the south. Suppression a risk though. Next Saturday's event may have entered the realm of trackable.
  6. 12Z Euro continues to spread snow, and eventually mix/frz, into PA next Saturday AM. Looks like quite the healthy WAA dump near 2-4" for Northern and Eastern LSV. Prior to the wave getting here a High pressure eases down from Canada and pushes the boundary far enough south to matter when the CAD kicks in on the approaching warm front. Northern Areas of the LSV stay all frozen as the low minors out/transfers to the coast.
  7. I do not recall the other one but same idea, I guess. And being the PBP person is just a gig and does not count as forecasting. Most people who post maps are not forecasting. The gist of my thought was that it is so hard to know when the good old days are while living them.
  8. Like when you look back at high school (or some other good time for the always disagreeable people) and consider the good old days, even though you did not realize it during the time when living it, I look back at @Itstrainingtime's big Euro PBP from a month or two ago, with the Nesis payload, as the good old days of this winter. More winter to come though so who knows...
  9. A second snow spreading into South PA on the GFS for the 28th of February. Close call on temps again and some of it is precip intensity driven. These temp limited snows not withstanding, the key with the GFS is starting 7 days from now, temps are near or below normal well into March.
  10. The GFS has joined the Euro and CMC showing snow spreading over PA a week from this Saturday. Low riding the boundary so technically a cutter but a well-positioned high.
  11. The below low 20's was up in Northern PA (eastern side).
  12. Pretty sizeable disparity for the lows tonight between the HRRR and everything else I looked at. Hrrr is upper 20's and low 30's in much of Eastern PA while others are 15-25ish.
  13. So you are the Dak Prescott/Tony Romo of the forum. Run up stats unless the pressure is on? LOL
  14. Not far, Carlisle is down into the 40's now. Quite the gradient.
  15. Rain appears to have wrapped up here and the temps are falling...down to 50.
  16. Sort of weather related. Both Pivotal and TT are CPU and Mem hogs if you sit on a model panel screen. Did not notice it until now. If you have an underpowered PC....
  17. One could argue that the continued fake snowstorms showing on the models, albeit it LR, is based on history and data that is not valid anymore...or at least this year.
  18. LOL, ouch! Throwing salt on wounds this AM, eh? I will say this....JB's punt based on an unpredictable, LR MJO forecast looks silly. 2 days later and the same LR MJO forecast is trending toward being two zones away from what he based his thoughts on. It is not ok to post 384 snow maps but 384 MJO maps are ok to punt off? LOL
  19. From 57 at midnight, 54 right now, to potential teens here tomorrow AM. Southern PA Winter 22-23. MDT surprisingly in the 40's just after midnight but did get up to 57 this AM. Both the Euro and CMC have a boundary runner winter storm 7-8 days out as the models continue to struggle with where the boundary sets up for late Feb.
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