Itstrainingtime. Watch as the low starts to wind up a bit, colder air gets pulled in from the west and above. Not much there to pull though. Mid teens in Rou'Ville
At the beginning of the week the forum was resigned to a punt so big improvement regardless. There is some less than ideal but good enough cold air just to out NW if anything gets cranking to our east and pulls it in.
The Euro looked improved but not good enough to get precip up this way...UK has a totally different look. Cannot see the fronts map but have this. Those of you that may have been cheated out of a full week of warmth this week can hug the Euro for next week. 50's and 60's galore.
I actually will be in the LV on Friday afternoon so I will have a different perspective. On some models it does not reach 50 on Thursday until after dark (MDT). GFS a bit earlier. But it could be 56 at midnight and both are right :-). But at one point it looked like it could hit 50 Tue on and that does not appear to be happening for everyone.
A bit of a pivot here but what looked like a week of 50's is starting to back pedal a bit. Most models now only get MDT over 50 Thursday night and maybe Friday depending on front timing.
I had not had much frost this year and still had summer weeds growing despite the Christmas cold. This will put a kibosh on them. It is still only 29 here so not getting into the 50's here today.
Super frosty 22 this AM. The cold front did its deed. Any plans of grass growing are done for a while due to the frostiest morning of the season so far. The GFS modeled snowstorm is about 24 hours later than modeled yesterday.
I have to admit, I very much hope the HH GFS shows development at the end of the front as well....will be like throwing coal into the engines and starting the train up again. Just the drama alone is worth watching.
12Z Euro is more rainy tomorrow night now as well...and starts off some of the MSV with frozen Thursday AM. It then has quite the mix event for Saturday night. 2M temps a bit high. Pivotal Euro algorithms do put some of this down as snow.
A decade or two from now, people would look back and see MDT near 20" and say 'Eh, not too bad'. Then they would check LNS or MU and see the truth. Nooners and 43/Mostly Cloudy here.