Bubbler86

12Z GFS is the shit as far as snow. Still has a series of cold/near normal snaps over the next 2 weeks but then cutters flush it out. It goes back and forth like that the rest of the month.

Nooners, rainy and 52.

Same here. I wonder how much the cold nights coming will shock it back.

Despite that large Yellow area, the small area of blue in N Central PA kept the state out of the top 10 somehow.

The NWS just took a dump on us.

USGS is monitoring our area for potential degradation in drought "rankings" going into Spring. A small area of Southern PA is also now back into D0 drought status. With that being said we are currently rated better over all than 1 year ago at this time.

What happened to all those analogs and erroneous misunderstandings/over valuing of long range MJO forecasting that JB gave us earlier this winter?

I am hoping that the average is close to 38ish-39ish when we get to next weekend. Models have another quick shot of near or slightly above normal weather mid-week next week. A week from today the Euro keeps MDT below 40 all day with mixed precip just north of MDT.

A bit over halfway through the month and MDT is currently 6.4 degrees AN and stands tied for the #7 warmest Feb in MDT recorded history if the month ended today. With several periods of colder weather progged to be on the way I am not sure MDT has a shot to challenge for the record or even stay in the top 10. Of note from the top 10 as of today, 7 have occurred since 1990 with 4 of the 10 in the last 6 years! 1932, 1990 and 1998 also stand out when looking at Jan and Feb.

That is probably exactly what George Washington and Abe Lincoln had in mind when thinking about the country's future! Ski Roundtop must be open on their weekend.

That makes me think of another one...a chainsaw to make one of those ice sculptures. Take about a lot of work for little return when baby melts almost every day since Dec 27th.

That is a good one too.

No offense to your snow blower purchase, that was the sarcastic one :-). People who bought the standard monthly billing plans for heating needs are the ones who got hurt the most. Re: if I had purchased that from my oil company, I would have paid about $1400 right now whereas I only paid about $800 buying on demand and I am sitting at 3/4 full on the tank so unlikely I purchase again this winter, They do not give you the $$$ back. It is a gamble that you can win or lose.

Yea, the ski pass was the weaker one. I have spoken to a few people who said the resorts have done their best but skiing when it is 5-10 degrees AN is not what they are used to.

My attempt at the top 5 worst purchases for winter 22/23 SO FAR. Not that I purchased, just in general. Not necessarily in order. 1-Snow Blower. 2-A prepaid contract for plowing your driveway. 3-A season long Ski Pass. 4-A contract for balanced heating charges (oil/gas/propane/electricity) based on 30-year norms. My overall heating bill is ~ 1/2 of what I was fearing. Lowest since I moved back in 2018 despite electricity and oil being more expensive. If one bought into one of those plans this year, they have lost hundreds if not over a thousand. 5-A large bag of ice melt/salt.

Most Progs have Sat being below normal with low to mid 20's for lows and highs near 40. MDT Normal is 43/25. A small victory in a terrible winter campaign if it happens.

'Down to' 46 this Am compared to yesterday's 50.

I wish I was in Atlantic City. Would not need air conditioning there since it is 6 degrees cooler than here.

An AC kind of night.

You must have missed the Sunday Feb 26th snow storm on the GFS?

It is not that warm out here at tennis. Clouded up, down to 61 and canderson windy.

Mid and upper 70's in true central/south central. Could be some backyard readings of 80. 68 in Rou.

I will start a gofundme for you.

Speaking of Chambersborg and Waynesborg, has anyone ever made more money off drawing a square and saying it was bad?

Haha, no. Shorter drive to Waynesborg