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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    HRRR gets you to 66-68 FWIW
  2. Bubbler86
    Nooners...Sunny and 56.
  3. Bubbler86
    12Z GFS is having none of that. LOL
  4. Bubbler86
    45 at 10AM.
  5. Bubbler86
    36 this Am. Going to be quite the ride per the HRRR climbing 30 degrees by late afternoon, a Midnight high in the upper 50's and right back down to 36 again tomorrow AM. The GFS is a cornucopia of winter storms affecting different parts of PA through the whole run.
  6. Bubbler86
    I believed you, I was saying the zones were odd. You are a great poster so sorry if you took it that I did not believe you.
  7. Bubbler86
    That is pretty odd. There has always been something brewing for the tue-wed time frame. Here is the GFS from 48 hours ago.
  8. Bubbler86
    Good example of why I said upper 2/3's of PA. Rou and ITT do not get a winters worth of snow on the GFS.
  9. Bubbler86
    The 18Z GFS March 3/4th storm is a winter all wrapped up in a couple days for the northern 2/3 of PA. Close to 30" for some including Voyagers house.
  10. Bubbler86
    18Z GFS is a lot more interesting for Tue. LSV is still not golden but northern half of PA has a full scale winter storm on their hands. Bostonians are probably getting amped up.
  11. Bubbler86
    When we were all one forum, just Northeast which included Richmond to Maine, it was ugly. There was a subset of people who tried to talk about everyone but for the most part it was people talking to others in their area but on a wide-open forum so it led to lots of angst.
  12. Bubbler86
    Beat back the weeds and bugs.
  13. Bubbler86
    12Z Euro has a nice snow for the Northern 1/3 of PA early next week as cutter gets blocked East. Boston is drilled. It does have the March 3rd system just south of PA but not impressive and mostly wet for PA this run. A cutter on the 4th and 5th.
  14. Bubbler86
    Yep, basically the same here until one of your NY brethren corrected me. That one map I posted suggested Williamsport was not actually in the main Susquehanna Valley at all. But, like @Itstrainingtime said if the local NWS uses their own designation maybe there is more than one interpretation.
  15. Bubbler86
    Their conclusion suggests it could have happened but "not sure" as there was a high degree of spatial variability (different but closely related locations had very different results.)
  16. Bubbler86
    The blinds were shut! LOL. Thanks for the update. I was curious. Maybe Saturday.
  17. Bubbler86
    There is actually some blocking as early as next week so still worth watching model runs and tracking. The main thing on the GFS for me is how cold it is for much of the beginning of March. There is a 1-2 day period where it warms up due to S/W flow from a cutter going to our west but it is winter cold after that.
  18. Bubbler86
    This is what I was showed which made it appear different. I was DM'ed by someone in the Upper NY thread. LOL. Technically a sliver of PA is in upper on that map but prior to this Dm convo from NY I had always considered Williamsport the USV.
  19. Bubbler86
    You mention USV and I was corrected on that earlier this year so curious what you guys call the USV? Apparently the USV is actually in NY per a NY'er that corrected me. I never knew that, but I think my view was PA specific.
  20. Bubbler86
    The lack of cold air around would indeed make your comment very true but at this point, any winter storm is a bonus so not going to quibble. GFS wise the high is in a good position so verbatim I doubt you or I switch to plain rain with that track, but we do lose 850 and 700's.
  21. Bubbler86
    It sure does. So does the CMC. Just have to hope "base state" the models are basing it on does not change. Will the blocking really be there.
  22. Bubbler86
    The question is, does Elliott see it? LOL
  23. Bubbler86
    Congrats! ICON got this one right. LOL. No matter how low the initial stats, this could be a stat padder. LOL.
  24. Bubbler86
    Icon showing the early week system redeveloping to our south and changing some of PA back to snow. Blocking FTW.
  25. Bubbler86
    Top 5 winter storm today for 22/23 so far.
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