Jump to content

Bubbler86

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    29,682

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Good example of why I said upper 2/3's of PA. Rou and ITT do not get a winters worth of snow on the GFS.
  2. Bubbler86
    The 18Z GFS March 3/4th storm is a winter all wrapped up in a couple days for the northern 2/3 of PA. Close to 30" for some including Voyagers house.
  3. Bubbler86
    18Z GFS is a lot more interesting for Tue. LSV is still not golden but northern half of PA has a full scale winter storm on their hands. Bostonians are probably getting amped up.
  4. Bubbler86
    When we were all one forum, just Northeast which included Richmond to Maine, it was ugly. There was a subset of people who tried to talk about everyone but for the most part it was people talking to others in their area but on a wide-open forum so it led to lots of angst.
  5. Bubbler86
    Beat back the weeds and bugs.
  6. Bubbler86
    12Z Euro has a nice snow for the Northern 1/3 of PA early next week as cutter gets blocked East. Boston is drilled. It does have the March 3rd system just south of PA but not impressive and mostly wet for PA this run. A cutter on the 4th and 5th.
  7. Bubbler86
    Yep, basically the same here until one of your NY brethren corrected me. That one map I posted suggested Williamsport was not actually in the main Susquehanna Valley at all. But, like @Itstrainingtime said if the local NWS uses their own designation maybe there is more than one interpretation.
  8. Bubbler86
    Their conclusion suggests it could have happened but "not sure" as there was a high degree of spatial variability (different but closely related locations had very different results.)
  9. Bubbler86
    The blinds were shut! LOL. Thanks for the update. I was curious. Maybe Saturday.
  10. Bubbler86
    There is actually some blocking as early as next week so still worth watching model runs and tracking. The main thing on the GFS for me is how cold it is for much of the beginning of March. There is a 1-2 day period where it warms up due to S/W flow from a cutter going to our west but it is winter cold after that.
  11. Bubbler86
    This is what I was showed which made it appear different. I was DM'ed by someone in the Upper NY thread. LOL. Technically a sliver of PA is in upper on that map but prior to this Dm convo from NY I had always considered Williamsport the USV.
  12. Bubbler86
    You mention USV and I was corrected on that earlier this year so curious what you guys call the USV? Apparently the USV is actually in NY per a NY'er that corrected me. I never knew that, but I think my view was PA specific.
  13. Bubbler86
    The lack of cold air around would indeed make your comment very true but at this point, any winter storm is a bonus so not going to quibble. GFS wise the high is in a good position so verbatim I doubt you or I switch to plain rain with that track, but we do lose 850 and 700's.
  14. Bubbler86
    It sure does. So does the CMC. Just have to hope "base state" the models are basing it on does not change. Will the blocking really be there.
  15. Bubbler86
    The question is, does Elliott see it? LOL
  16. Bubbler86
    Congrats! ICON got this one right. LOL. No matter how low the initial stats, this could be a stat padder. LOL.
  17. Bubbler86
    Icon showing the early week system redeveloping to our south and changing some of PA back to snow. Blocking FTW.
  18. Bubbler86
    Top 5 winter storm today for 22/23 so far.
  19. Bubbler86
    I think early Spring is quickly exiting stage left IF LR guidance is correct in keeping blocking more effective well into March. Whether PA sees snow is super subjective but as of today, coolish if not cold looks like it stands a much better chance after we get through this week (except when cutters spoil the cold regime, LOL).
  20. Bubbler86
    We are back to plain Jane rain. How much did @Cashtown_Coop get?
  21. Bubbler86
    In other news the storm as a whole is causing havoc on the countries flights...guess who has the most cancelled flights? I will give a hint. You find your seat by lining up in the cow line and rushing to get the best one.
  22. Bubbler86
    LOL. I had said bust in a previous post but in defense of the zones, it did have snow in them.
  23. Bubbler86
    Actually accumulating on the mulch and shed roof now but never going to accumlate on the roads at 35. Sun angle and all.
  24. Bubbler86
    It is not accumulating here with the surface temps but nice to see in the air at least. Snow TV. Frozen being reported about an hour south of me south of Frederick.
  25. Bubbler86
    Moderate snow in Rouzerville now. Full on bust mode in effect.
×
×
  • Create New...