Bubbler86

12Z GFS has that Monday Clipper/wave really giving New York State a nice snow. Jealous...would have been great if that (and the required atmospheric ingredients) had trended south. Some people in NY and New England are making up on their winter totals.

Snowflakes have commenced here. Models do not have it lasting too long. 34 degrees.

Concur...I was thinking how to say it, but I like your way. I am guessing he does not really mean it and was looking for some laughs.

My zones have gusts of 48 here tomorrow. Harrisburg "only" 39 mph but the Harrisburg zones now start off the precip today as snow and sleet and carry sleet into tonight.

Boo

If that modeled sleet bomb for the MSV cones to fruition, it will be something to behold. Cold be 1-2" of just sleet. It is during dark hours' time unfortunately. Snow during the daytime.

It bothers me when I know there is one out there and he does not post. Have to keep the springinista's on alert.

Frosty 30 here this AM.

From a cutter to suppression, a day in the life of the GFS suite. The TNT model rolling in right now.

Love the high-quality maps being thrown up on the MA board.

Damn models. They have been sticking it to @paweather all season.

The cold is blunted a bit by the time of the year but would expect teens in the LSV and singles in colder spots with that look.

Going to need the energy in the west to round the base of this trough as it is departing. This is not an avocado, it is a watermelon. The potential ITT is there in the breadbasket at 240 but this is so drastically different from the 0Z Euro, I do not feel it is worth digging into it too much.

As of late March 10th, the 540 live drives down into the Gulf as cold air plunges into the middle of the US.

With limited blocking, the 9th/10th event cuts just west of PA. A light winter event for most of PA. Possibly the cut that sets the stage for Winter Storm ITT.

Euro @ 150 is going to be much father north than the GFS with the March 9th/10th winter weather threat. Still looks disorganized to start. Temps not ideal either.

Good catch. It is somewhat hard to find with all the negative posts in between.

He will have to take off his Spinganista shaded glasses to read that.

Haha. If we do not get one of the these two potentials to score, I Harden have a chance to even get to the point where my snow is Melton due to sun angle. Let's see what the models between 7:30 and 10:30 tonight say.

And I love the step-by-step analysis/PBP of how we got there with an occasional forecast thrown on the board. LOL. I had the high number for the souls brave enough to enter the March snowfall contest so some of this is greed in wanting to be to most close to right.

MMM, mashed taters. I am hungry, bro. Wait, you were not excited in December when some prognosticators said it was the best pattern in years?

Yea so far so good, both at 500 and surface components. A day or two ago there was no storm on the board. This AM a cutter on March 10th and 11th which has disappeared with the GFS focusing on a different piece of energy/different timing. Finally, at 12Z we are left with a Miller situation. I am greedy and would like both March 10th and 15/16 to work out.

Nooners, mostly cloudy and 54. Parsing the models, the CMC moved the Monday threat a bit north so as of now it takes snow out of PA 4 days from now. Both the GFS and CMC go with a ridge in the west/trough in the east look 7 days out. Quite chilly with a threat being suppressed on the 9th and 10th. Parsing fantasy land on the GFS 5 days later, a dual barrel system approaches PA with a dying cutting wave that ruins what would otherwise be a PA wide major snowstorm with heavy snow confined to about 1/2 of the Western and Northern portions of PA when the block does its thing and forces transfer to the southern piece in NC. Initially this is nothing like the 6Z which focused on different waves though did end up with a similar result. Changes in 6 hours I would guess.

For tomorrows event, 12Z HRRR has a burst of snow for the western LSV up into central PA (after starting as rain) and a burst of sleet down to the SE parts of this forum. Most of the top 2/3 of PA then convert to a sleet bomb when the main area of precip moves over Sat AM/overnight Fri, while the bottom 1/3 stays rain. Would be a nice event for the more Northern areas of our forum. Nam not as friendly with winter precip for tomorrow.

I like it! Throw down the gauntlet!