Bubbler86

Interesting thing about the GFS is that only a few days are hot and some are later in the month. No heat wave next week. Actually has potential area wide 40's on Aug 31. I know, it is all going to change but as of now it is not a hot look for our corner.

Agree that the rain this next 24 hours is a lottery. That is one reason I am done with full yard mowing for the summer and maybe even until next year. I will have to mow a few small areas under trees and when leaves are on the ground.

WGAL is in... 1) Top gust on Friday is 25 2) Chamber weekend 3) Another fake heatwave next week in the "weakest summer" in many years. If we get a real summer next year, people may be spoiled by this year.

Speaking of models, the mesos's have moisture sliding up the East Coast Thur afternoon and night as the front approaches...something for the Easterners to look out for.

Yea, that was what I was referring to in my posts from that night....they actually mentioned tornados. I am not sure I am explaining anything to anyone. If you do not want my service, stop paying or asking. LOL.

We were behind on tropical counts last year as we entered August, and it never really did catch up to expectations though there was one the devastating one in SW Florida of course. I love model reading so you may have to ignore some of my posts (like others do). We are watering once or twice a day as well. Doing it after dark when I can...to avoid neighbor issues.

Pleasant 58 this AM.

Had sustained winds in the upper 20's and gusts over 40 this afternoon.

Left arm spared?

Pillow tacking on again (last hour.)

How was your lunch today? How about the Phillies, they are something right? Have you ever seen weather like this?

Oh, so you got .04". I hope USGS took note of that! LOL. Parts of PA now have less the entire year than some posters here have had in ~ 2 or 2.5 months.

Looks like Lanco did not do a lot last night but the HRRR and 3K both have a wave ride the front this afternoon to put them in the game.

.05 here for the evening. Looks like MDT did .36. Warm 71 this AM.

I bet it seemed to be great early but then tapered off as the serie....storm progressed.

They actually mention tornados. ___________________ Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday evening as a storm system moves over southern Pennsylvania. First a warm front lifts from south to north allowing for incredibly high levels of moisture to pool ahead of developing showers and thunderstorms to our southwest as we head past sunset. As the front lifts to our north these scattered showers and thunderstorms may increase in strength and number closer to sunset and into the early overnight hours. The biggest concerns are storms that produce strong damaging wind gusts greater than 60 miles per hour. There may storms that produce very heavy rainfall leading to localized flash flooding. Because of the advancing warm front and western motion of the thunderstorms that could create enough "spin" in the atmosphere to get these storms to rotate and a brief, spin-up tornado could form. https://www.wgal.com/article/impact-scattered-strong-to-severe-storms-possible-overnight/44812277#

I am sure the wind comments were based on weather during storms. They actually had damaging winds listed as a moderate possibility which is high for them.

How much for Mt Joy?

Midnight fireworks

Wgal is calling this an impact night and will be updating through the wee hours of the morning. Flooding, wind damage, etc...

HRRR does not get you on the board until 8ish

I have not heard from Canderson in a while now...did you get him booted?

Maybe that was the January tropical storm.

Thanks I forgot about Don but I was counting down the names....I see they list one as an unnamed storm which is bit confusing with the named storm verbiage in their prediction. I guess they mean any storm that gets to 39mph. At 5 they still need one a week if nothing for the next week. If we get one per week in Nov, that will be something so really need a blockbuster 8-10 week period coming up.

Last year picked up a bit as well but we are extremely low for Mid-August at that point. We would need a once or twice a week situation to make this a busy season. GFS has something end of August. They are calling for 14-21 storms and have had only 3 so far so take 18 as an example, we need 15 over the next 12-14 weeks.