Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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10-1 though....
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Channel 21 with a laughable trace to 2" for most of the Lsv.
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Still some light snow in the far SE. I personally think this is overstated, like the GFS, but here it is.
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The HRRR is not shitting in med cabinets....it is bringing the goods and bucking the recent trend to minimize this situation.
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GFS still more of a Miller A so a much smaller screw zone. These global maps are smoothed over so some of the higher totals are probably elevation dependent.
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The moose biscuits will probably be well East of me. But earlier that was almost a guarantee somewhere with the lift, temps being so close to freezing and the rapid deepening...if the storm keeps speeding up. I think it lessens it greatly.
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Not sure I saw the 3K listed. Rgem is still mainly more snowy to the east of the LSV.
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I was just joking that DT always sides with the euro, not a forecast. LOL.
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I was joking about DT's penchant to always crown the Euro. Rain has commenced here. 48/44
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Euro wins again-DT That is actually very well written compared to usual comments.
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Going to cause some angst here.
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Most models have temps getting into or near the 40's for all of the southern half of PA tomorrow. Once the snow stops, roads will melt fast IMO.
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On the current NWS Zones, the counties that need a Warning per the HRRR do not have it and many that have it, do not need it. Latest AFD has the words LSV and crosshairs near each other.
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Quite a few PA Counties will go from WSW to little or no snow if the HRRR is correct.
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Just finishing up at this point. One more compaction or slight shift south and Blizz misses a good bit of the Blizz storm. Crazy.
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The HRRR is coming in very compact and about 100 miles faster than 12Z as of 5AM tomorrow. Still a good snow for those that it reaches.
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Reading this in a vacuum, one might think that being a snowplow driver gives one an extra early lead time on snow rumors.
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I am glad you asked. His snow removal forecast.
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He has plans ranging from $5 to $100/MO so you may be able to get in on the $5 plan.
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I think all the panic was on other forums. We all just talked about it, learned from it, and moved to the next one :-)
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The Ukie, Rgem and Fv3 has similar paths to what they show I think...Miller Bish.....just not as "fast" on the others as it is on the Euro.
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I personally never think it is the top dog, was just doing the pbp plus my opinion on why we lost the heavy precip (MIller B). I cannot buy the low moved from Western VA to hundreds of miles off shore in 6 hours.
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From hour 18 to 24 on the Euro, the low Jumps several hundred miles East. I do not think it necessarily moves that far vs. jump/Miller B. 500H ULL still in central VA when the SLP is way out in the Atlantic.
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Very true on globals being taken with a grain of salt (obviously ensembles too.) That map does bear some resemblance to the Fv3 and Rgem.
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Since the cat is out of the bag with the EC...last PBP post on this one, at 24 the low has transferred well off the coast and there is very little snow in PA....more mixed and rain but a heavy band of snow in the far South Eastern LSV.
