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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Who knew there was an Air Wisconsin?
  2. Bubbler86
    Should @Cashtown_Coop open the MDT contest back up for adjustments? :-). Actually I would not adjust down much. I still think MDT has a shot at over a foot.
  3. Bubbler86
    The Nam, CMC and RGEM all show it starting to transfer again tomorrow evening and I am convinced that is robbing some of our potential for a far reaching deform band. Similar to the way a cluster of storms can rob from areas around them.
  4. Bubbler86
    HRRR has some decent banding for you after 5PM...for several hours at least.
  5. Bubbler86
    Come on now....
  6. Bubbler86
    Para not so much but still a decent snow in Northern and Central LSV. Just not to the level of the GFS totals.
  7. Bubbler86
    GFS is a bit better tucked than other 12Z Guidance
  8. Bubbler86
    The Nam does over do qpf totals so the joking about a "namming" is fairly legit but it is extremely useful for trend based forecasting. With that said it was by itself this time so could not buy into it fully even if it ends up being the best forecast. It dismays me to see Red Taggers cast it off or start sentences with "Good thing its not going to be right because its the Nam..."
  9. Bubbler86
    I am sorry. I am just discussing models. I will keep it down. My favorite part of this is model dissection.
  10. Bubbler86
    My brother just passed this on to me. Subject to change per bottom right. Lol.
  11. Bubbler86
    Nam gives a lot some retrograde love.
  12. Bubbler86
    Well my county is pretty long. That 1" contour is pretty far from me. It's only about .87 over me of which I would guess most comes today. Just one map.
  13. Bubbler86
    That is indeed a dry slot on the EC. Thanks for that map.
  14. Bubbler86
    It's some dry slot as well but Nam keeps precip running through most of the storm for N MD.
  15. Bubbler86
    On the Nam it is due to some fairly extensive mixing to the west of the Catoctins. When I bought into this area I did not realize we would lose the column so quickly on most variety of storms. No immediate mountains to my west to protect. Sort of like a funnel between Mercersburg and Adams county. Edit-Actually gets the mixing up into LSV as well.
  16. Bubbler86
    Solid coating here at 8AM. 29/26
  17. Bubbler86
    Nc and North. That storm helped make these boards more popular.
  18. Bubbler86
    Good call. On a more lighthearted note the herpderps is a topic of convo all of a sudden. Lol
  19. Bubbler86
    Ha. Dc snow hole.
  20. Bubbler86
    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013100&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
  21. Bubbler86
    Some of us are just talking about depictions and not rooting.
  22. Bubbler86
    Para jackpots mdt.
  23. Bubbler86
    Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky.
  24. Bubbler86
    The farther south transfer certainly opens the door for a more wide spread storm for VA north and east. More realistic results.
  25. Bubbler86
    Gfs transferred to inland GA. Interesting twist.
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