i think the SOI being negative is much more important...and i dont know if it is tied to MJO but usually during Nino--negative SOI produces..no matter what the strat does ..etc
i was going to say..if it warps into phase 4 at low ampliitude...we might at that point start to feel the affects of Phase 8 and 1 LOL. Nobody has a clue...everyone has busted this winter. Judah Cohen being the king
CWG sold their soul and reputation to Judah Cohen
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/12/17/polar-vortex-could-unleash-winter-wallop-by-january/?utm_term=.e3de6c1cdff2
i jokingly compared this winter to 01-02 a few weeks ago--about the broken promises and how cold vodka was always on the way but it never came...till 02-03. JB said he nailed that winter...at the upper levels