Ji
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Everything posted by Ji
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The American models continue to be unusable Horrible run. Euro is locked in it appears
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Old maps are interesting
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Post from dec 30
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Some intern just fed it data from January 2014
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So Donald Trump shut down the government...broke the broken gfs even more and now its back to giving us big snowstorms in bad patterns.
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I'm more worried about depression
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One thing I like about this is the precip shield is much bigger than the dec 9.
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Guys go to bed before yogi posts the unmet and says he cant find the low pressure
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Look at the gfs 500 anomaly. No way that looks like our biggest event since 2016 lol
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2 of the worst models agree...one model hasn't been fed data since dec 27 haha
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The angle and shape of ridge was different...the vort is also starting at a good latitude. Basically we just want some kind of low near us that can give us precip. There are so many little changes happening in so many different places that ultimately play a factor in final solution
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Lol best run yet.
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I dont even like snow...I like it on models
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how...where is the snow now?
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From wes to me....wes always delivers bad news Jay Hatem Angela wrote a really good and important article on how the GFS has been degraded because of the shut down. Evidently, EMC workers were deemed non-essential and there was an international format change scheduled to standardize how weather data is formatted that was being implementedright as the shutdown was declared. EMC has no one there to ake the necessary changed so that the newly formatted data can get into the models. It still gets data but not as much as it should be getting. A degradation of model scores (accuracy) commenced around Christmas. Therefore, it's probably wise to lean more on the Euro and its ensembles then the GFS. That's why Jason noted that there was a slight chance of a snowstorm. The Euro and its ensembles mostly miss us or give us a dusting. That doesn't guarantee no snow storm as it could be wrong as we're still far enough out in time that no model has a lot of skill.
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Those maps are useless
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God help us if we miss another southern slider by being too north
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I cant take what gfs gives me 138 hours out
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Soon to be MA lol.
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It's as suppressed as last dec 9 system but much better precip shield
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It will be in Jacksonville by 6z. Enjoy the next 2 runs
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Icon loads way to quickly. Euro takes hour and a half to load. Were probably in trouble
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the euro has never liked the event. The GFS will pull the plug likely now in the next 2-3 runs?
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funny on how as soon as MJO gets to phase 8--we get a snow threat. So MJO is driver/culprit.
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looks good to me unless you live in SE DC
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