Ji
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Everything posted by Ji
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i dont like outliers--even if its the european and especially when we are at short range. So lets see what the european does today but so far ICON/GFS/Canadiens are giving us back end love
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I wouldnt dismiss the GFS...for its all its faults in the mid range...its a pretty good model within 60. And now with the european being the outlier....i wouldnt totally buy into the european. This is different from being 120 hours out
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hey i sent you a pm:)
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i thought about typing that but didnt want to get banned from our first snowstorm since 2016
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yep. its the last storm he ever saw too
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nah...shutdown only happens when you have 2-3 inch an hour rates. This storm is going to give us 2- 3inch a day rates
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the Jan 2019 storm comes into mind because it went from a 2-4 inch storm 36 hours before the event and kept increasting amounts every run up until gametime and even then...no model had us getting a foot lol
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lol--this was before i knew about Miller B---but the part 2 severely underperformed at Dulles and Cantore was sitting there trying to explain it away
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they had cantore at Dulles airport waiting the arrival of part 2 of the storm. It came but wasnt nearly as much as they thought.
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the precip map has a dry over our house
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yikes the surface maps are very similar no? i think Dulles got 9-10 inches from this but there was a day of non stop snizzle which was awesome http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2004/05-Dec-03-SurfaceMaps.html
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i remember an event with that kind of thing---i think it was early Dec 2003
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sounds like we are going to have to endure a light to moderate eternal event.....based on the way winter has gone since our Jan 2019 storm..well take?
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it dosent looked as tucked as 00z
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compared to yesterdays run on TT--the low is 1mb stronger lol and a tad bit south
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TT has the Canadien Precip/surface panels. Beautiful! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2021012812&fh=24
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two words...Trending/Caving
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48 hours of snow is cool. 48 hours to get 7 inches.......
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gfs has CCB for the first time(Slow cave?)
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Ji replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
they were supper happy the EPS flipped or something last night to warmer -
@psuhoffman maybe i was dreaming but i thought i saw last night in the New England forum that March 2001 had snuck in their as a top analog
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Its over. The euro will look like the icon soon. The north trend never fails...till we need it
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Ji replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
@psuhoffman
