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Ji

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Everything posted by Ji

  1. its almost impossible in this current climate not to get a HECS now at least every 6-7 years despite the crappy winters we have to endure between We will probably get a HECS this year but its going to age us by 40 years before we get there
  2. What does a transitional January even mean? We need a whole month to transition to a snowy pattern in February? I did see the seasonals and they had enough cold and precip in January that a 10 inch month was fairly reasonable. January was not super cold on the seasonal...but it was cold enough. In fact...the whole seasonal wasnt not cold..it was just could enough
  3. No moron. Nobody said this. Everyone said the best of our winter would be between late January and February. That’s different from winter would start in late January
  4. The 7th on paper should be a slam dunk based on where we thought the pattern was headed Now we are praying a Hail Mary for a wintry mix.
  5. The t3 was a fluke in a bad pattern on the heels of 60 degree stormFor most people’s forecast to now to verify we are going to need 2 blizzards most likely lol
  6. Anyone who says the pattern is progressing like they thought it simply lying to themselves. Nobody at this time last month would of said the first 3 events of January would lean rain Anyway let’s give it till January 1 before we torch the place down. No pun intended!
  7. Then someone should have just said that there be no winter till January 25. You can’t have a mid month warmup when it’s too warm to snow in the early month and the previous month Absurd.
  8. I wonder if we really needed a super super nino. Is the low mei that was discussed for a while now coming back to haunt us. We are in a favorable mjo phase. Ao is negative…nao is negative …. Are we done? lol
  9. Were the season models in 2019 similar to 2023? It’s amazing how they have been so deadly accurate for the easy part…the warm and wet December. Now when we need them to stay on course they are starting to fall apart Very discouraging. I’ll give it a few days. Sometimes there are hiccups but in this age…you have to be super skeptical If we don’t snow this winter….hooheh boy. Bob chill has already fled
  10. The fact that all the modeling looks like crap now when we expected the opposite look is pretty discouraging on the 1st day of the pattern change. Proud of you for holding it together. Today reminds me of every day last winter
  11. People like to complain in the busiest thread so it won’t matter
  12. Yes and most wear these kind of ninos which are rare by themselves.
  13. Some people aren’t gojng to make it
  14. That’s actually the best chart I’ve seen this season in terms of how many members at least show something
  15. This actually wasn’t as bad as you all make it out to be…those who checked the ensembles
  16. I can handle this all going south. What I can’t handle is the first 3 threats in January leaning rain. Sure Dec blowtorch fine. The seasonals has it…but January?
  17. I think the Dec 20-30 blowtorch was the big surprise and it’s pushed everything back
  18. So the truth is…..deep down…no one thought this winter would be like this so far The vision was A cold late November early December with a snow window A mid month warmup but not bad +2 at the worst but the pattern would be changing by Dec 20 Then our best chance for our white Christmas in years A chance for a winter storm late December early January with the best of our Nino winter still ahead of us 40 inch winter on the way
  19. they should run the ensembles first and then operationals
  20. why is there always a low over the great lakes? the lack of high pressure over SE Canada has been startling the past several years
  21. at least its coming before our mid month warmup thats still on the table!
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