Good Lord, you'll never learn.
You may experiencing a upper frontal lobe past memory brain infection which affects expectations on future events which are unrealistic results/outcomes. Happens mainly within the weather community.
Treatment: Review the 99.999% of the time this didn't occur then smack yourself in the head 6 or 7 times, kick trashcans then tell yourself don't do this again until it happens again. Repeat therapy as needed...
29F/Cloudy