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Everything posted by Rjay
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Had some severe thunderstorm warnings near Annapolis
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...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON EST MONDAY... * WHAT...One and a half to three feet of inundation above ground level expected in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. * WHERE...Southern Queens, Southwest Suffolk and Southern Nassau Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM to noon EST Monday. * COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Widespread moderate to locally major flooding of vulnerable areas is likely near the waterfront and shoreline, including roads, parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes and businesses with basements near the waterfront. Several to numerous road closures are likely, and vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront may become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays. * SHORELINE IMPACTS...Large breaking waves of 9 to 13 ft will result in significant beach erosion and flooding. Areas of dune erosion and scattered washovers are likely, resulting in some flooding of roadways and vulnerable structures behind protective dunes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The potential for localized major coastal flooding (3 ft above ground) is mainly along the south shore of Nassau County. The potential depend on how much before high tide the easterly storm force winds subside and if southerly gale force winds develop by the time of high tide. The intensity and complexity of the situation necessitates preparation for localized major flooding in the above mentioned area.
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Low of 9. Up to 30 now.
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Yup. No real block. Ridge too far west. We'll see.
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I don't see a reason why it couldn't trend that way but we'll see.
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After a low of 9 I made it up to 17 today.
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10 in Holbrook. Winds continue to gust between 35-40 mph
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16 degrees. Winds continue to gust between 35-40mph in Holbrook.
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23 with north winds gusting over 40mph
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...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. * WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern Fairfield, Southern New Haven, Southern Middlesex and Southern New London Counties. In New York, Southern Westchester, Bronx, Northwest Suffolk, Northern Queens and Northern Nassau Counties. * WHEN...From late Sunday night through Monday afternoon. * COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Widespread moderate flooding of vulnerable areas is possible near the waterfront and shoreline, including roads, parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes and businesses with basements near the waterfront. Several road closures are possible, and vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront may become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays. * SHORELINE IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 4 to 6 ft will result in beach erosion, wave splashover onto shoreline streets and properties, and minor damage possible to shorefront structures. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There is potential for locally major flooding (3 ft above ground level) for southern Westchester and coastal southwestern Connecticut if strong easterly winds and high waves continue through the time of high tide Monday morning. The higher probability at this time is that winds weaken and shift to the south before high tide, which would reduce wave action and likely keep flooding at moderate flood levels (2 to 2 1/2 ft above ground).
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Yea. That's why I usually wait for the NAM for precip types in these type of events.
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Well out here it's prob is very close to all rain.
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We'll prob have a better idea about precip types and changeover times when the NAM gets in range.
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I have no idea what Lee is looking at to be honest. There's just nothing to force this storm to our SE. The gfs is transferring to the coast. So, sure, it could end up transferring over the BM but by then the damage is done to mid levels and the surface. Plus the storm is flying.
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