nycsnow

1 hour ago, NJwx85 said:

06z globals pretty locked in on another 1-2" areawide, however it looks like SNE might take the brunt of it instead of us.

Models also showing 50-60mph winds which will add up trees are taking a beating 

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Some flooding in Long Beach in the vulnerable spots but it’s probably good news that the worst of the winds last night were during low tide. Out east may be worse since the SW winds generate a fetch that builds toward the east end. 

Yeah I have family on the water in west islip and the canals are spilling over 

Winds picking up

Saturated grounds, trees taking a beating this week won’t take much to cause problems 

Wind advisory til 8pm I guess there’s another round of wind coming 

Another strong storm likely impacts the region late Friday into
Saturday with another round of moderate to heavy rainfall, and
strong, to potentially damaging winds, along with a coastal flooding
threat.

Another southern stream trough will be moving onshore of the Pacific
northwest midweek and track across the country, reaching toward the
Great Lakes Region late in the week. With some of the global
guidance the upper trough is becoming more negatively tilted during
Friday, keeping the surface low a little farther to the west. Timing
of the heaviest rainfall and highest winds remains Friday night into
Saturday as a low level jet of 50-70kts moves through the region.
Also, an occluded low will be moving over the region late Friday
night into Saturday morning. Strong lift, and some instability,
along with elevated CAPE up to 500 J/kg will allow for a chance of
thunderstorms. Precipitable waters also increases late Friday night,
up to 1.35 inches, and a period of moderate to heavy rainfall
remains possible. The is the potential for another flooding event as
WPC has placed most of the area in a slight risk for excessive
rainfall. Finally, with the strong winds another high wind event is
also becoming more likely. While there are a few days until the
onset of this storm impacts are becoming more likely.

Whose ready to do this Fri night again

Strongest winds in a long time wow 

Big uptick in winds now 

Gust becoming more consistent now 

Pretty big uptick in winds now

Power outages piling up in PA and south so I’m sure that’s coming this way

Anyone know why I can’t post pics? 

Not even near the peak winds yet either and already trees down and transformers going 

https://x.com/nwswpc/status/1744861357915394372?s=46

135k without power in north carolina

77k in south Carolina and rising fast no surprise seeing they’re getting 70mph gust now

Winds picking up

MTA has the big sand trucks on each side of Verrazzano bridge day to close it once winds pick up  

Just now, NJwx85 said:

No. I'm not a met and far from an expert with these things but looks well mixed.

Upton mentions it as well no strong inversion present 

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

The soundings are worrisome. 

 

No real inversion right?

Tool For later 

https://poweroutage.us

3 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

I just wanna throw this out there to temper some of the hysteria with the winds.

 

weather to us is literally life and death in aviation. here are the aviation forecasts for JFK and Islip over the next 24 hours. as you can see, there’s nothing anywhere near 75 mph even if you convert knots to MPH.

Now, Im not saying on the immediate coast there aren’t going be higher gusts and sustained winds.

But for the vast majority of the people in this forum, this will be heavy rain with winds around 30-50 miles an hour. And even that is the high end.

just wanted to throw this government forecast for the two coastal airports in our area out there.

Upton aviation calling for 40kt increasing to 50kt for city and coast 

Light and vrb winds increasing out of the SE this mrng. Gusts
up to 40 kt possible toward 00Z, with city and coastal terminals
having gusts up to 50 kt towards 04-06z. LLWS develops towards
the eve push and continues overnight. Winds become wly around
12-14Z Wed.

6z nam and gfs bring 80-90mph gust just off the coast, will be interesting to watch the buoy data see if it verifies 

7 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

1.4” pwat in January is nuts. Someone’s going to be dealing with real deal river flooding where snow melt is also an issue.

also, for the coast another huge fetch building monster seas by east coast standards. More beach erosion and wash overs likely. The last storm made 8 foot cliffs at lido beach, expecting that to get worse. 

Similar swells as well 15-20 feet and I believe there was no astronomical high tide for last storm but this one there is